Saba Purtseladze vs Lukas Pokorny
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 13:35
26 Ene 2026, 13:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Saba Purtseladze
Saba …: 55,0%
Lukas …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Saba Purtseladze?
UTR 13,64 vs 13,75
(-0,11)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Saba … | Lukas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,62 | 45,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,82 | 2,22 | 55,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Saba …: +12,7%
Lukas …: -12,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Saba Purtseladze
Ranking
#292
UTR Rating
13,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#596
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
2/14 = 14,3%
Lukas Pokorny
Ranking
#473
UTR Rating
13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#529
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 181,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6199 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4823 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 93,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 146,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -50,4202 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -20,8995 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8235 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 14,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 22,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,9048 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,7143 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,2747 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,8319 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,9101 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,8706 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,3412 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5588 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,8286 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 107,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 91,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,1364 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,0325 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -24,3197 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5381 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3281 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6765 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,8032 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24364
API ID
15428356
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24364,
"api_id": 15428356,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Saba Purtseladze",
"player2": "Lukas Pokorny",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-26T09:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.6153846153846154
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.73
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.55,
"prob_p2": 0.45,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.55,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 292,
"utr_singles": 13.64,
"utr_ranking": 596,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 14.285714285714285,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 473,
"utr_singles": 13.75,
"utr_ranking": 529,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.64,
"ranking": 596,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.75,
"ranking": 529,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.6764705882352942,
"utr_diff": -0.10999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 1.61986301369863,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 93,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.8705882352941146,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 14.285714285714285,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.70588235294117,
"utr_advantage": -0.8032128514056183,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 146,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4823415862236512,
"rank_advantage": 181,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -50.42016806722689,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.341176470588238,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.274705882352933,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5588235294117645,
"combined_confidence": 0.5266666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.8319327731092301,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.7142857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.136363636363637,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.032520325203258,
"surface_rank_synergy": -24.319743843209302,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 22.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.9100840336134368,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8235294117647058,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.828571428571429,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 107,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 91,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5381428571428573,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.32805882352941174,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -20.8994708994709,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}