Saba Purtseladze vs Lukas Pokorny
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 13:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Saba Purtseladze
Saba …: 55,0% Lukas …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Saba Purtseladze?
UTR 13,64 vs 13,75 (-0,11) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Saba … Lukas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 55,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Saba …: +12,7% Lukas …: -12,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Saba Purtseladze
Ranking #292
UTR Rating 13,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #596
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 2/14 = 14,3%
Lukas Pokorny
Ranking #473
UTR Rating 13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #529
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 181,0000
rank_ratio 1,6199
log_rank_ratio 0,4823
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 93,0000
best_rank_diff 146,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -50,4202
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -20,8995
surface_matches_ratio 0,8235
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 14,2857
surface_wr_p2 64,7059
surface_wr_p1_stable 22,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,9048
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,7143
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,5267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,2747
first_serve_won_diff -0,8319
second_serve_won_diff 1,9101
bp_saved_diff 0,8706
bp_converted_diff 7,3412
aces_per_match_diff 0,5588
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,8286
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 107,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 91,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,1364
serve_consistency_p2 2,0325
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -24,3197
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5381
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3281
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1100
utr_p1 0,6635
utr_p2 0,6765
utr_advantage -0,8032
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24364
API ID 15428356
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24364,
    "api_id": 15428356,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Saba Purtseladze",
    "player2": "Lukas Pokorny",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-26T09:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.73
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.55,
    "prob_p2": 0.45,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.55,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 292,
      "utr_singles": 13.64,
      "utr_ranking": 596,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 14.285714285714285,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 473,
      "utr_singles": 13.75,
      "utr_ranking": 529,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.64,
      "ranking": 596,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.75,
      "ranking": 529,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6635294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.6764705882352942,
    "utr_diff": -0.10999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 1.61986301369863,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 93,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.8705882352941146,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 14.285714285714285,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.70588235294117,
    "utr_advantage": -0.8032128514056183,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 146,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.4823415862236512,
    "rank_advantage": 181,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -50.42016806722689,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.341176470588238,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.274705882352933,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5588235294117645,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5266666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.8319327731092301,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.7142857142857143,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.136363636363637,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.032520325203258,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -24.319743843209302,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 22.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.9100840336134368,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8235294117647058,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.828571428571429,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 107,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 91,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5381428571428573,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.32805882352941174,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -20.8994708994709,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}