Alexandr Binda vs Viktor Durasovic
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 15:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Viktor Durasovic
Alexandr …: 38,0% Viktor …: 62,0%
¿Por qué Viktor Durasovic?
UTR 13,60 vs 14,00 (-0,40) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexandr … Viktor … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,40 36,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,63 1,61 38,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexandr …: +4,3% Viktor …: -4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexandr Binda
Ranking #448
UTR Rating 13,60 Pro
UTR Ranking #622
Forma L5 0% (3p)
Forma L10 0% (3p)
WR Hard 6/13 = 46,2%
Viktor Durasovic
Ranking #329
UTR Rating 14,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #382
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 23/41 = 56,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -119,0000
rank_ratio 0,7344
log_rank_ratio -0,3087
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -54,0000
best_rank_diff -146,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,9437
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,2593
surface_matches_ratio 0,3171
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,1538
surface_wr_p2 56,0976
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,0588
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,5556
p1_surface_matches 13,0000
p2_surface_matches 41,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4733
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7367
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,3729
first_serve_won_diff -7,6767
second_serve_won_diff -1,3689
bp_saved_diff 3,5144
bp_converted_diff 18,6529
aces_per_match_diff -2,0619
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -23,5500
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 84,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 13,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 0,8270
serve_consistency_p2 8,8564
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,0700
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0805
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0580
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4000
utr_p1 0,6588
utr_p2 0,7059
utr_advantage -2,8986
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24365
API ID 15428365
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24365,
    "api_id": 15428365,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alexandr Binda",
    "player2": "Viktor Durasovic",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-26T11:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.49,
      "p2": 1.48
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3801,
    "prob_p2": 0.6199,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6199,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 448,
      "utr_singles": 13.6,
      "utr_ranking": 622,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 329,
      "utr_singles": 14.0,
      "utr_ranking": 382,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.09756097560976,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.6,
      "ranking": 622,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.0,
      "ranking": 382,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6588235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7058823529411765,
    "utr_diff": -0.40000000000000036,
    "rank_ratio": 0.734375,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -54,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.5144465290806792,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -30.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.15384615384615,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.09756097560976,
    "utr_advantage": -2.898550724637684,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -146,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.3087354816496133,
    "rank_advantage": -119,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.943714821763606,
    "bp_converted_diff": 18.652908067542214,
    "p1_surface_matches": 13,
    "p2_surface_matches": 41,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.372851782363995,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.0619136960600377,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.6767354596622965,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.07692307692307693,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 0.8270254750719889,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.856361913624177,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.0699775848835857,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.3688555347091977,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3170731707317073,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -23.550000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 84,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0805384615384615,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05802439024390238,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.259259259259263,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}