Alexandr Binda vs Viktor Durasovic
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 15:30
26 Ene 2026, 15:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Viktor Durasovic
Alexandr …: 38,0%
Viktor …: 62,0%
¿Por qué Viktor Durasovic?
UTR 13,60 vs 14,00
(-0,40)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexandr … | Viktor … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,40 | 36,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,63 | 1,61 | 38,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexandr …: +4,3%
Viktor …: -4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexandr Binda
Ranking
#448
UTR Rating
13,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#622
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Hard
6/13 = 46,2%
Viktor Durasovic
Ranking
#329
UTR Rating
14,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#382
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
23/41 = 56,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -119,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7344 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3087 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -54,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -146,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,9437 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,2593 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3171 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,1538 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,0976 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,5556 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,3729 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,6767 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,3689 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,5144 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 18,6529 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0619 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -23,5500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 84,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0,8270 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8564 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,0700 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0805 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0580 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7059 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,8986 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24365
API ID
15428365
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24365,
"api_id": 15428365,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alexandr Binda",
"player2": "Viktor Durasovic",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-26T11:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.49,
"p2": 1.48
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3801,
"prob_p2": 0.6199,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6199,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 448,
"utr_singles": 13.6,
"utr_ranking": 622,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 329,
"utr_singles": 14.0,
"utr_ranking": 382,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.09756097560976,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.6,
"ranking": 622,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.0,
"ranking": 382,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6588235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.7058823529411765,
"utr_diff": -0.40000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 0.734375,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -54,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.5144465290806792,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -30.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.15384615384615,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.09756097560976,
"utr_advantage": -2.898550724637684,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -146,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3087354816496133,
"rank_advantage": -119,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.943714821763606,
"bp_converted_diff": 18.652908067542214,
"p1_surface_matches": 13,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.372851782363995,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.0619136960600377,
"combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.6767354596622965,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.07692307692307693,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.8270254750719889,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.856361913624177,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.0699775848835857,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.3688555347091977,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3170731707317073,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -23.550000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 84,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0805384615384615,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05802439024390238,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.259259259259263,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}