Beibit Zhukayev vs Faris Zakaria
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 15:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Beibit Zhukayev
Beibit …: 50,8% Faris …: 49,2%
¿Por qué Beibit Zhukayev?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Beibit … Faris … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,11 6,00 90,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,97 2,03 50,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Beibit …: -33,5% Faris …: +33,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Beibit Zhukayev
Ranking #261
UTR Rating 14,40 Pro
UTR Ranking #203
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 14/31 = 45,2%
Faris Zakaria
Ranking #-
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 239,0000
rank_ratio 1,9157
log_rank_ratio 0,6501
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 207,0000
best_rank_diff 329,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -4,8387
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,0016
surface_matches_ratio 15,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 45,1613
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,7143
surface_wr_p2_stable 36,6667
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0968
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,6633
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 41,0274
first_serve_won_diff 30,7194
second_serve_won_diff 14,8065
bp_saved_diff 9,6839
bp_converted_diff -64,7484
aces_per_match_diff 10,6129
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 42,8571
momentum_diff 9,1429
weighted_momentum_diff 9,0771
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 59,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 350,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 14,3033
serve_consistency_p2 0,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,1456
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2874
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2390
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7529
utr_p2 0,7529
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24366
API ID 15428364
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24366,
    "api_id": 15428364,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Beibit Zhukayev",
    "player2": "Faris Zakaria",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-26T11:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1111111111111112,
      "p2": 6.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.12,
      "p2": 5.61
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5083,
    "prob_p2": 0.4917,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5083,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 261,
      "utr_singles": 14.4,
      "utr_ranking": 203,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.16129032258064,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.4,
      "ranking": 203,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.7529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.9157088122605364,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
    "points_diff": 207,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.683870967741939,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 9.142857142857139,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 45.16129032258064,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 329,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6500876910994983,
    "rank_advantage": 239,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.838709677419359,
    "bp_converted_diff": -64.7483870967742,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": 41.02741935483872,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 10.612903225806452,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 30.719354838709677,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.0967741935483871,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.303265682978816,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.1455856020943496,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.714285714285715,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.666666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 14.806451612903224,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 15.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.07714285714286,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 59,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 350,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2873870967741936,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.239,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.001587301587304,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}