Alberto Bronzetti vs Mert Alkaya
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 18:15
26 Ene 2026, 18:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mert Alkaya
Alberto …: 36,9%
Mert …: 63,1%
¿Por qué Mert Alkaya?
UTR 13,26 vs 14,02
(-0,76)
— Niveles similares
Alberto …
W19-L16
54% WR
vs UTR 12,8
L2
Mert …
Sin datos
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alberto … | Mert … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,33 | 1,20 | 23,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,71 | 1,59 | 36,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alberto …: +15,3%
Mert …: -15,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alberto Bronzetti
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,26 Pro
UTR Ranking
#872
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Mert Alkaya
Ranking
#392
UTR Rating
14,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#373
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alberto Bronzetti
Record 2025
19W - 16L (54%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
12,8
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
L
Mert Alkaya
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -108,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7840 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2433 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -121,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -108,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,5333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -18,9400 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,2222 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -27,7778 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,2222 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 197,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0,2293 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1080 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1080 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7082 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,5718 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24368
API ID
15428359
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24368,
"api_id": 15428359,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alberto Bronzetti",
"player2": "Mert Alkaya",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-26T14:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.333333333333334,
"p2": 1.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 5.89,
"p2": 1.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3694,
"prob_p2": 0.6306,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6306,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.26,
"utr_ranking": 872,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 19,
"utr_v4_losses": 16,
"utr_v4_wr": 54.285714285714285,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.78,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.86,
"opponent_name": "Noah Perfetti"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.02,
"opponent_name": "Andrea De Marchi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.13,
"opponent_name": "Lorenzo Beraldo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.88,
"opponent_name": "Andrea Picchione"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.95,
"opponent_name": "Milos Karol"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:04.902370+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 392,
"utr_singles": 14.02,
"utr_ranking": 373,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.26,
"ranking": 872,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.02,
"ranking": 373,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.708235294117647,
"utr_diff": -0.7599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 0.784,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.222222222222225,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -121,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -27.777777777777775,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": -5.571847507331377,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -108,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.24334625863172918,
"rank_advantage": -108,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.6000000000000014,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": -18.939999999999998,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.200000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.229254478196246,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 30.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.799999999999997,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.222222222222221,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 197,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10799999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10799999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.533333333333333,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}