Alberto Bronzetti vs Mert Alkaya
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 18:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mert Alkaya
Alberto …: 36,9% Mert …: 63,1%
¿Por qué Mert Alkaya?
UTR 13,26 vs 14,02 (-0,76) — Niveles similares
Alberto …
W19-L16
54% WR
vs UTR 12,8
L2
Mert …
Sin datos
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alberto … Mert … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,33 1,20 23,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,71 1,59 36,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Alberto …: +15,3% Mert …: -15,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alberto Bronzetti
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #872
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Mert Alkaya
Ranking #392
UTR Rating 14,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #373
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alberto Bronzetti
Record 2025 19W - 16L (54%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 12,8
Últimos 5:
L L W L L
Mert Alkaya
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -108,0000
rank_ratio 0,7840
log_rank_ratio -0,2433
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -121,0000
best_rank_diff -108,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,5333
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 30,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -18,9400
first_serve_won_diff -6,2000
second_serve_won_diff -2,8000
bp_saved_diff -12,5000
bp_converted_diff -3,6000
aces_per_match_diff -7,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1667
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 22,2222
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -27,7778
weighted_momentum_diff -7,2222
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 197,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 0,2293
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1080
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1080
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7600
utr_p1 0,6188
utr_p2 0,7082
utr_advantage -5,5718
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24368
API ID 15428359
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24368,
    "api_id": 15428359,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alberto Bronzetti",
    "player2": "Mert Alkaya",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-26T14:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.333333333333334,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.89,
      "p2": 1.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3694,
    "prob_p2": 0.6306,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6306,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.26,
      "utr_ranking": 872,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 19,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 54.285714285714285,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.78,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.86,
          "opponent_name": "Noah Perfetti"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.02,
          "opponent_name": "Andrea De Marchi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.13,
          "opponent_name": "Lorenzo Beraldo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.88,
          "opponent_name": "Andrea Picchione"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.95,
          "opponent_name": "Milos Karol"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:04.902370+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 392,
      "utr_singles": 14.02,
      "utr_ranking": 373,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.26,
      "ranking": 872,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.02,
      "ranking": 373,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6188235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.708235294117647,
    "utr_diff": -0.7599999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 0.784,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.222222222222225,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -121,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -12.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -27.777777777777775,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": -5.571847507331377,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -108,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.24334625863172918,
    "rank_advantage": -108,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.6000000000000014,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": -18.939999999999998,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -7.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.200000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 0.229254478196246,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 30.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.799999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.222222222222221,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 197,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10799999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10799999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.533333333333333,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}