Vadym Ursu vs Alex Hernandez
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 17:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alex Hernandez
Vadym …: 33,3% Alex …: 66,7%
¿Por qué Alex Hernandez?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Vadym … Alex … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 1,91 55,6%
IA Fair Odds 3,00 1,50 33,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Vadym …: -18,2% Alex …: +18,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vadym Ursu
Ranking #430
UTR Rating 13,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #668
Forma L5 0% (4p)
Forma L10 0% (4p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Alex Hernandez
Ranking #415
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 3/5 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -15,0000
rank_ratio 0,9651
log_rank_ratio -0,0355
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -6,0000
best_rank_diff 110,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,7921
surface_matches_ratio 2,4000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,6667
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,5051
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,4133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,6667
first_serve_won_diff 0,0333
second_serve_won_diff -8,5000
bp_saved_diff 7,3667
bp_converted_diff -11,0333
aces_per_match_diff 4,1000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 42,8571
momentum_diff -42,8571
weighted_momentum_diff -35,9694
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 133,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 193,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,9330
serve_consistency_p2 0,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,6510
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0683
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0850
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,6518
utr_p2 0,6518
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24370
API ID 15428363
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24370,
    "api_id": 15428363,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Vadym Ursu",
    "player2": "Alex Hernandez",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-26T13:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 1.9090909090909092
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.01,
      "p2": 1.75
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3329,
    "prob_p2": 0.6671,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6671,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 430,
      "utr_singles": 13.54,
      "utr_ranking": 668,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 415,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.54,
      "ranking": 668,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6517647058823528,
    "utr_p2": 0.6517647058823528,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9651162790697675,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
    "points_diff": -6,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.36666666666666,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -42.85714285714286,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 110,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.03550668845690976,
    "rank_advantage": -15,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -18.33333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.033333333333331,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.666666666666671,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.1,
    "combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.033333333333338544,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.9329734648082,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.6509559550433455,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.505050505050505,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.4,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -35.96938775510205,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 133,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 193,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06833333333333325,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08499999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.792087542087542,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}