Vadym Ursu vs Alex Hernandez
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 17:15
26 Ene 2026, 17:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alex Hernandez
Vadym …: 33,3%
Alex …: 66,7%
¿Por qué Alex Hernandez?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Vadym … | Alex … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 1,91 | 55,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,00 | 1,50 | 33,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Vadym …: -18,2%
Alex …: +18,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vadym Ursu
Ranking
#430
UTR Rating
13,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#668
Forma L5
0% (4p)
Forma L10
0% (4p)
WR Hard
5/12 = 41,7%
Alex Hernandez
Ranking
#415
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
3/5 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -15,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9651 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0355 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -6,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 110,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,7921 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,4000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,5051 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,6667 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0333 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,3667 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,0333 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,1000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -35,9694 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 133,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 193,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,9330 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6510 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0683 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0850 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6518 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24370
API ID
15428363
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24370,
"api_id": 15428363,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Vadym Ursu",
"player2": "Alex Hernandez",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-26T13:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 1.9090909090909092
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.01,
"p2": 1.75
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3329,
"prob_p2": 0.6671,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6671,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 430,
"utr_singles": 13.54,
"utr_ranking": 668,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 415,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.54,
"ranking": 668,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6517647058823528,
"utr_p2": 0.6517647058823528,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.9651162790697675,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
"points_diff": -6,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.36666666666666,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -42.85714285714286,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 110,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.03550668845690976,
"rank_advantage": -15,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -18.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.033333333333331,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.666666666666671,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.1,
"combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.033333333333338544,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.9329734648082,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.6509559550433455,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.505050505050505,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.4,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -35.96938775510205,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 133,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 193,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06833333333333325,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08499999999999996,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.792087542087542,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}