Alexei Popyrin vs Ugo Blanchet
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
28 Ene 2026, 14:00
28 Ene 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Blanchet
Alexei …: 33,1%
Ugo …: 66,9%
¿Por qué Ugo Blanchet?
UTR 15,09 vs 14,53
(+0,56)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexei … | Ugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,02 | 1,49 | 33,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexei …: -41,9%
Ugo …: +41,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexei Popyrin
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
10% (10p)
WR Hard
7/21 = 33,3%
Ugo Blanchet
Ranking
#142
UTR Rating
14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#161
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 92,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,8400 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0438 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 565,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 120,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -26,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -19,5282 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 36,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,9744 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,8079 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,6552 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,0657 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,2876 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,6810 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,4000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,6850 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9904 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7943 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8889 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0423 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,9330 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -27,8348 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2587 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1920 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -53,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7682 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,7812 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24375
API ID
15428912
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24375,
"api_id": 15428912,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alexei Popyrin",
"player2": "Ugo Blanchet",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-28T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.27
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3311,
"prob_p2": 0.6689,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6689,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 50,
"utr_singles": 15.09,
"utr_ranking": 82,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 10.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 142,
"utr_singles": 14.53,
"utr_ranking": 161,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.09,
"ranking": 82,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.53,
"ranking": 161,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8341176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.768235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.5600000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 2.84,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 565,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.287619047619046,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": 3.781228899392306,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 120,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0438040521731147,
"rank_advantage": 92,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8888888888888888,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8666666666666667,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -26.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.680952380952384,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.8079047619047515,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9903846153846154,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7943262411347518,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.4,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.65523809523809,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.042326946188313,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.933015769110316,
"surface_rank_synergy": -27.834774724616395,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.065714285714279,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.6850000000000023,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -53.33333333333334,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2586666666666668,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19200000000000006,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.52820512820513,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}