Alexei Popyrin vs Ugo Blanchet
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
28 Ene 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Blanchet
Alexei …: 33,1% Ugo …: 66,9%
¿Por qué Ugo Blanchet?
UTR 15,09 vs 14,53 (+0,56) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexei … Ugo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
IA Fair Odds 3,02 1,49 33,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexei …: -41,9% Ugo …: +41,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexei Popyrin
Ranking #50
UTR Rating 15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #82
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 10% (10p)
WR Hard 7/21 = 33,3%
Ugo Blanchet
Ranking #142
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #161
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 21/35 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 92,0000
rank_ratio 2,8400
log_rank_ratio 1,0438
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 565,0000
best_rank_diff 120,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -26,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -19,5282
surface_matches_ratio 0,6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 36,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,9744
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,8079
first_serve_won_diff 1,6552
second_serve_won_diff -6,0657
bp_saved_diff 5,2876
bp_converted_diff -10,6810
aces_per_match_diff 4,4000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,6850
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 14,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9904
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7943
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8889
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8667
serve_consistency_p1 6,0423
serve_consistency_p2 8,9330
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -27,8348
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2587
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1920
elite_surface_amplifier -53,3333
UTR
utr_diff 0,5600
utr_p1 0,8341
utr_p2 0,7682
utr_advantage 3,7812
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24375
API ID 15428912
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24375,
    "api_id": 15428912,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alexei Popyrin",
    "player2": "Ugo Blanchet",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-28T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.31,
      "p2": 3.27
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3311,
    "prob_p2": 0.6689,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6689,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 50,
      "utr_singles": 15.09,
      "utr_ranking": 82,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 10.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 142,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 161,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.09,
      "ranking": 82,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.53,
      "ranking": 161,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8341176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.768235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.5600000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 2.84,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 565,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.287619047619046,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.781228899392306,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 120,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0438040521731147,
    "rank_advantage": 92,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8888888888888888,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8666666666666667,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -26.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.680952380952384,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.8079047619047515,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9903846153846154,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7943262411347518,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.4,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.65523809523809,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.042326946188313,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.933015769110316,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -27.834774724616395,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.065714285714279,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.6850000000000023,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -53.33333333333334,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2586666666666668,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19200000000000006,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.52820512820513,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}