Coleman Wong vs Ryan Peniston
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 16:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coleman Wong
Coleman …: 58,1% Ryan …: 41,9%
¿Por qué Coleman Wong?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Coleman … Ryan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,72 2,39 58,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Coleman …: -16,9% Ryan …: +16,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coleman Wong
Ranking #132
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 22/38 = 57,9%
Ryan Peniston
Ranking #219
UTR Rating 14,14 Pro
UTR Ranking #312
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 17% (6p)
WR Hard 11/21 = 52,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 87,0000
rank_ratio 1,6591
log_rank_ratio 0,5063
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 196,0000
best_rank_diff -5,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,5138
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,3714
surface_matches_ratio 1,8095
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,8947
surface_wr_p2 52,3810
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,1429
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,0000
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1579
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 19,3564
first_serve_won_diff 9,7145
second_serve_won_diff 2,5160
bp_saved_diff 2,8211
bp_converted_diff 3,9787
aces_per_match_diff 6,8722
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 39,3300
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 12,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 14,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1746
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7692
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 7,0071
serve_consistency_p2 11,5520
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,7915
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0081
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1108
elite_surface_amplifier 5,5138
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7224
utr_p2 0,7224
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24376
API ID 15428908
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24376,
    "api_id": 15428908,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Coleman Wong",
    "player2": "Ryan Peniston",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-27T12:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 3.89
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5813,
    "prob_p2": 0.4187,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5813,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 132,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 219,
      "utr_singles": 14.14,
      "utr_ranking": 312,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 16.666666666666664,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.14,
      "ranking": 312,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.7223529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.6590909090909092,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 196,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.821052631578951,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.89473684210527,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.38095238095239,
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    "best_rank_diff": -5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.50626980723013,
    "rank_advantage": 87,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.513784461152881,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.978696741854634,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
    "serve_quality_diff": 19.356441102756882,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1746031746031746,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 6.872180451127819,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 9.714536340852113,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.15789473684210525,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.007081681308871,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.552003649958852,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.7914625962563555,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.5160401002506276,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.8095238095238095,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 39.33,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 5.513784461152881,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.008052631578947311,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1108095238095238,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.3714285714285674,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}