Filip Misolic vs Lorenzo Giustino
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 17:25
27 Ene 2026, 17:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Filip Misolic
Filip …: 77,0%
Lorenzo …: 23,0%
¿Por qué Filip Misolic?
UTR 14,55 vs 14,45
(+0,10)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Filip … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 2,75 | 71,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,30 | 4,35 | 77,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Filip …: +10,7%
Lorenzo …: -10,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Filip Misolic
Ranking
#84
UTR Rating
14,55 Pro
UTR Ranking
#156
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
13/26 = 50,0%
Lorenzo Giustino
Ranking
#211
UTR Rating
14,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#184
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
43% (7p)
WR Hard
2/6 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 127,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,5119 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9210 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 446,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 48,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,4501 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 39,6522 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6233 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,5083 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,5500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,9500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,3850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,8368 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,9940 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 15,3507 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1270 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0397 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 33,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7588 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,6897 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24377
API ID
15428911
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24377,
"api_id": 15428911,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Filip Misolic",
"player2": "Lorenzo Giustino",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-27T13:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.55,
"p2": 2.34
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.77,
"prob_p2": 0.23,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.77,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 84,
"utr_singles": 14.55,
"utr_ranking": 156,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 211,
"utr_singles": 14.45,
"utr_ranking": 184,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.55,
"ranking": 156,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.45,
"ranking": 184,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7705882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.7588235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.10000000000000142,
"rank_ratio": 2.511904761904762,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": 446,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.950000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 0.6896551724138029,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 48,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9210413346327528,
"rank_advantage": 127,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.700000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.5083333333333329,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.1666666666666665,
"combined_confidence": 0.6233333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.549999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.836775467212403,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.99399187184374,
"surface_rank_synergy": 15.350688910545886,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 39.65217391304348,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.4999999999999858,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.385000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 33.33333333333334,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.127,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03966666666666674,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.450144927536233,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}