Filip Misolic vs Lorenzo Giustino
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 17:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Filip Misolic
Filip …: 77,0% Lorenzo …: 23,0%
¿Por qué Filip Misolic?
UTR 14,55 vs 14,45 (+0,10) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Filip … Lorenzo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 2,75 71,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,30 4,35 77,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Filip …: +10,7% Lorenzo …: -10,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Filip Misolic
Ranking #84
UTR Rating 14,55 Pro
UTR Ranking #156
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 13/26 = 50,0%
Lorenzo Giustino
Ranking #211
UTR Rating 14,45 Pro
UTR Ranking #184
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 43% (7p)
WR Hard 2/6 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 127,0000
rank_ratio 2,5119
log_rank_ratio 0,9210
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 446,0000
best_rank_diff 48,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,4501
surface_matches_ratio 4,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 39,6522
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,6233
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,5083
first_serve_won_diff -2,5500
second_serve_won_diff 1,5000
bp_saved_diff -7,9500
bp_converted_diff 2,7000
aces_per_match_diff 1,1667
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,3850
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 14,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,8368
serve_consistency_p2 4,9940
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15,3507
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1270
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0397
elite_surface_amplifier 33,3333
UTR
utr_diff 0,1000
utr_p1 0,7706
utr_p2 0,7588
utr_advantage 0,6897
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24377
API ID 15428911
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24377,
    "api_id": 15428911,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Filip Misolic",
    "player2": "Lorenzo Giustino",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-27T13:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.55,
      "p2": 2.34
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.77,
    "prob_p2": 0.23,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.77,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 84,
      "utr_singles": 14.55,
      "utr_ranking": 156,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 211,
      "utr_singles": 14.45,
      "utr_ranking": 184,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.55,
      "ranking": 156,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.45,
      "ranking": 184,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7705882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.7588235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.10000000000000142,
    "rank_ratio": 2.511904761904762,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 446,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.950000000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 0.6896551724138029,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 48,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.9210413346327528,
    "rank_advantage": 127,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.700000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.5083333333333329,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.1666666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6233333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.549999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.836775467212403,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.99399187184374,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 15.350688910545886,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 39.65217391304348,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.4999999999999858,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.385000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 33.33333333333334,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.127,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03966666666666674,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.450144927536233,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}