Hugo Grenier vs Lloyd Harris
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
28 Ene 2026, 14:40
28 Ene 2026, 14:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hugo Grenier
Hugo …: 57,5%
Lloyd …: 42,5%
¿Por qué Hugo Grenier?
UTR 14,50 vs 15,15
(-0,65)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hugo … | Lloyd … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,40 | 36,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,74 | 2,35 | 57,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hugo …: +23,8%
Lloyd …: -23,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hugo Grenier
Ranking
#179
UTR Rating
14,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
36/60 = 60,0%
Lloyd Harris
Ranking
#221
UTR Rating
15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#73
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 42,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2346 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2108 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 71,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -64,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,2500 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,0208 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59,3750 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,0792 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,6383 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,6417 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,5183 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,6250 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,7150 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7024 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4348 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6506 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 20,0016 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,4251 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0580 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0205 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 16,2500 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8412 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,3845 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24378
API ID
15428904
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24378,
"api_id": 15428904,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Hugo Grenier",
"player2": "Lloyd Harris",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-28T10:40:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.81,
"p2": 1.39
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5749,
"prob_p2": 0.4251,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5749,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 179,
"utr_singles": 14.5,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 221,
"utr_singles": 15.15,
"utr_ranking": 73,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 179,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.15,
"ranking": 73,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8411764705882353,
"utr_diff": -0.6500000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 1.23463687150838,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": 71,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.6416666666666657,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
"utr_advantage": -4.384485666104556,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -64,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2107768956769979,
"rank_advantage": 42,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.25,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.518333333333331,
"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.079166666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7023809523809523,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.625,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.638333333333335,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.6506352470958126,
"serve_consistency_p2": 20.001601229763054,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.425124554751216,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.375,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.6999999999999957,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.75,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.714999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 16.25,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05799999999999994,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.020499999999999963,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.020833333333332,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}