Hugo Grenier vs Lloyd Harris
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
28 Ene 2026, 14:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hugo Grenier
Hugo …: 57,5% Lloyd …: 42,5%
¿Por qué Hugo Grenier?
UTR 14,50 vs 15,15 (-0,65) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hugo … Lloyd … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,40 36,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,74 2,35 57,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Hugo …: +23,8% Lloyd …: -23,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hugo Grenier
Ranking #179
UTR Rating 14,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 36/60 = 60,0%
Lloyd Harris
Ranking #221
UTR Rating 15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #73
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 42,0000
rank_ratio 1,2346
log_rank_ratio 0,2108
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 71,0000
best_rank_diff -64,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,2500
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,0208
surface_matches_ratio 3,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 43,7500
surface_wr_p1_stable 59,3750
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,0000
p1_surface_matches 60,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,0792
first_serve_won_diff -4,6383
second_serve_won_diff -1,7000
bp_saved_diff -0,6417
bp_converted_diff 6,5183
aces_per_match_diff -2,6250
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 11,7150
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 13,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 14,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7024
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3000
serve_consistency_p1 5,6506
serve_consistency_p2 20,0016
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,4251
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0580
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0205
elite_surface_amplifier 16,2500
UTR
utr_diff -0,6500
utr_p1 0,7647
utr_p2 0,8412
utr_advantage -4,3845
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24378
API ID 15428904
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24378,
    "api_id": 15428904,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Hugo Grenier",
    "player2": "Lloyd Harris",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-28T10:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.81,
      "p2": 1.39
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5749,
    "prob_p2": 0.4251,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5749,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 179,
      "utr_singles": 14.5,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 36,
      "wr_surface_total": 60,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 221,
      "utr_singles": 15.15,
      "utr_ranking": 73,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.75,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.5,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.15,
      "ranking": 73,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7647058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.8411764705882353,
    "utr_diff": -0.6500000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.23463687150838,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 71,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.6416666666666657,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
    "utr_advantage": -4.384485666104556,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -64,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2107768956769979,
    "rank_advantage": 42,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.25,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.518333333333331,
    "p1_surface_matches": 60,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.079166666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7023809523809523,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.625,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.638333333333335,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.6506352470958126,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 20.001601229763054,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.425124554751216,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.375,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.6999999999999957,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 11.714999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 16.25,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05799999999999994,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.020499999999999963,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.020833333333332,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}