Kyrian Jacquet vs Christopher O'Connell
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 19:25
27 Ene 2026, 19:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Christopher O'Connell
Kyrian …: 44,3%
Christopher …: 55,7%
¿Por qué Christopher O'Connell?
UTR 14,63 vs 14,87
(-0,24)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kyrian … | Christopher … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,26 | 1,80 | 44,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kyrian …: +5,2%
Christopher …: -5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kyrian Jacquet
Ranking
#128
UTR Rating
14,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#145
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
26/38 = 68,4%
Christopher O'Connell
Ranking
#118
UTR Rating
14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking
#102
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
16/30 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9219 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0813 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -44,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -75,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,0877 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13,7255 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 68,4211 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,9412 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3684 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,2179 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,0789 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,1211 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,9211 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,1211 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,2789 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 17,3250 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7692 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,8935 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3990 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,2273 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1942 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0233 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7800 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8082 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,6271 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24379
API ID
15428905
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24379,
"api_id": 15428905,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Kyrian Jacquet",
"player2": "Christopher O'Connell",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-27T15:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.53
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.71,
"p2": 2.05
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4433,
"prob_p2": 0.5567,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5567,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 128,
"utr_singles": 14.63,
"utr_ranking": 145,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 118,
"utr_singles": 14.87,
"utr_ranking": 102,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.63,
"ranking": 145,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.87,
"ranking": 102,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7800000000000001,
"utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
"utr_diff": -0.23999999999999844,
"rank_ratio": 0.921875,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": -44,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.921052631578945,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 20.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 68.42105263157895,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": -1.6271186440677858,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -75,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.0813456394539524,
"rank_advantage": -10,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.08771929824561,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.121052631578948,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.21789473684211202,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7333333333333333,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.2789473684210524,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.078947368421055,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3684210526315789,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.893494295278721,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.399005612638395,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.227320174217527,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.121052631578941,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2666666666666666,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 17.325000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1942105263157895,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.023333333333333317,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.725490196078418,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}