Kyrian Jacquet vs Christopher O'Connell
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 19:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Christopher O'Connell
Kyrian …: 44,3% Christopher …: 55,7%
¿Por qué Christopher O'Connell?
UTR 14,63 vs 14,87 (-0,24) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kyrian … Christopher … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,53 42,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,26 1,80 44,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Kyrian …: +5,2% Christopher …: -5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kyrian Jacquet
Ranking #128
UTR Rating 14,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #145
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 26/38 = 68,4%
Christopher O'Connell
Ranking #118
UTR Rating 14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking #102
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 16/30 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -10,0000
rank_ratio 0,9219
log_rank_ratio -0,0813
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -44,0000
best_rank_diff -75,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15,0877
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,7255
surface_matches_ratio 1,2667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 68,4211
surface_wr_p2 53,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 66,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,9412
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3684
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,2179
first_serve_won_diff 7,0789
second_serve_won_diff 4,1211
bp_saved_diff -2,9211
bp_converted_diff 2,1211
aces_per_match_diff -2,2789
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 17,3250
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7333
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7692
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2000
serve_consistency_p1 6,8935
serve_consistency_p2 6,3990
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,2273
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1942
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0233
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2400
utr_p1 0,7800
utr_p2 0,8082
utr_advantage -1,6271
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24379
API ID 15428905
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24379,
    "api_id": 15428905,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Kyrian Jacquet",
    "player2": "Christopher O'Connell",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-27T15:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.53
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.71,
      "p2": 2.05
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4433,
    "prob_p2": 0.5567,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5567,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 128,
      "utr_singles": 14.63,
      "utr_ranking": 145,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 118,
      "utr_singles": 14.87,
      "utr_ranking": 102,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.63,
      "ranking": 145,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.87,
      "ranking": 102,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7800000000000001,
    "utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
    "utr_diff": -0.23999999999999844,
    "rank_ratio": 0.921875,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": -44,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.921052631578945,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 20.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 68.42105263157895,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": -1.6271186440677858,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -75,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.0813456394539524,
    "rank_advantage": -10,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 15.08771929824561,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.121052631578948,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.21789473684211202,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7333333333333333,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.2789473684210524,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.078947368421055,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3684210526315789,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.893494295278721,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.399005612638395,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.227320174217527,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.121052631578941,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2666666666666666,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 17.325000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1942105263157895,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.023333333333333317,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.725490196078418,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}