Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Luca Nardi
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
28 Ene 2026, 15:50
28 Ene 2026, 15:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Luca Nardi
Rodrigo …: 24,3%
Luca …: 75,8%
¿Por qué Luca Nardi?
UTR 14,08 vs 14,59
(-0,51)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rodrigo … | Luca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,36 | 33,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,12 | 1,32 | 24,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rodrigo …: -6,9%
Luca …: +6,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Ranking
#234
UTR Rating
14,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#339
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
5/13 = 38,5%
Luca Nardi
Ranking
#108
UTR Rating
14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#145
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
22/41 = 53,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -126,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4615 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7732 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -314,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -129,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15,1970 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,9556 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3171 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 38,4615 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,6585 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,1765 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2308 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,7903 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,0829 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,9634 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,0829 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,7195 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2214 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,9550 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 14,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4842 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,7578 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,0428 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11,7502 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0106 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0894 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7153 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,5577 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24381
API ID
15428906
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24381,
"api_id": 15428906,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez",
"player2": "Luca Nardi",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-28T11:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.3599999999999999
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.16,
"p2": 1.33
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2425,
"prob_p2": 0.7575,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7575,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 234,
"utr_singles": 14.08,
"utr_ranking": 339,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 38.46153846153847,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 108,
"utr_singles": 14.59,
"utr_ranking": 145,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 339,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 145,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.5099999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 0.46153846153846156,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -314,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.082926829268281,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 38.46153846153847,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.65853658536586,
"utr_advantage": -3.557725845831879,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -129,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7731898882334817,
"rank_advantage": -126,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -15.196998123827392,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.7195121951219505,
"p1_surface_matches": 13,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.7903377110694123,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4842105263157895,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2213883677298312,
"combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.0829268292683025,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.23076923076923078,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.757792307837795,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.042848792087808,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.750165280846531,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.17647058823529,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.963414634146339,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3170731707317073,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.9549999999999983,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.010615384615384693,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08941463414634143,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.955555555555561,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}