Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 17:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Otto Virtanen
Zhizhen …: 18,3% Otto …: 81,7%
¿Por qué Otto Virtanen?
UTR 14,78 vs 14,87 (-0,09) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Zhizhen … Otto … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 2,75 71,4%
IA Fair Odds 5,47 1,22 18,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Zhizhen …: -48,0% Otto …: +48,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zhizhen Zhang
Ranking #368
UTR Rating 14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #113
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 4/16 = 25,0%
Otto Virtanen
Ranking #126
UTR Rating 14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking #100
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/30 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -242,0000
rank_ratio 0,3424
log_rank_ratio -1,0718
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -358,0000
best_rank_diff 60,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -28,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -17,5882
surface_matches_ratio 0,5333
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 25,0000
surface_wr_p2 53,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 30,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,9412
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,4185
first_serve_won_diff -2,6050
second_serve_won_diff -2,4700
bp_saved_diff -4,5500
bp_converted_diff -8,0500
aces_per_match_diff -1,6875
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,3290
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 14,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0732
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5962
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 7,4687
serve_consistency_p2 8,0928
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 30,3677
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0080
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2087
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0900
utr_p1 0,7976
utr_p2 0,8082
utr_advantage -0,6071
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24384
API ID 15428914
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24384,
    "api_id": 15428914,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Zhizhen Zhang",
    "player2": "Otto Virtanen",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-27T13:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.7,
      "p2": 2.07
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1827,
    "prob_p2": 0.8173,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8173,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 368,
      "utr_singles": 14.78,
      "utr_ranking": 113,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 126,
      "utr_singles": 14.87,
      "utr_ranking": 100,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.78,
      "ranking": 113,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.87,
      "ranking": 100,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7976470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
    "utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 0.3423913043478261,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -358,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.549999999999983,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": -0.6070826306913987,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 60,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0718010312174528,
    "rank_advantage": -242,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -28.333333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.050000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.41849999999998,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0731707317073171,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5961538461538461,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6875,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.6049999999999756,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.46871915814773,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.092799531915277,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 30.3676958844945,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 30.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.4699999999999918,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.3290000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.008000000000000007,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.20866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.58823529411765,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}