Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 17:15
27 Ene 2026, 17:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Otto Virtanen
Zhizhen …: 18,3%
Otto …: 81,7%
¿Por qué Otto Virtanen?
UTR 14,78 vs 14,87
(-0,09)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Zhizhen … | Otto … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 2,75 | 71,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,47 | 1,22 | 18,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Zhizhen …: -48,0%
Otto …: +48,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zhizhen Zhang
Ranking
#368
UTR Rating
14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#113
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
4/16 = 25,0%
Otto Virtanen
Ranking
#126
UTR Rating
14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking
#100
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/30 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -242,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3424 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0718 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -358,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 60,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -28,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -17,5882 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,9412 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,4185 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,6050 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,4700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,5500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,0500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6875 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,3290 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0732 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5962 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4687 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,0928 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 30,3677 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0080 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2087 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8082 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6071 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24384
API ID
15428914
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24384,
"api_id": 15428914,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Zhizhen Zhang",
"player2": "Otto Virtanen",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-27T13:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.7,
"p2": 2.07
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1827,
"prob_p2": 0.8173,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8173,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 368,
"utr_singles": 14.78,
"utr_ranking": 113,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 126,
"utr_singles": 14.87,
"utr_ranking": 100,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 113,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.87,
"ranking": 100,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
"utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 0.3423913043478261,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -358,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.549999999999983,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -10.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": -0.6070826306913987,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 60,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0718010312174528,
"rank_advantage": -242,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -28.333333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.050000000000004,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.41849999999998,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0731707317073171,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5961538461538461,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.6875,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.6049999999999756,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.46871915814773,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.092799531915277,
"surface_rank_synergy": 30.3676958844945,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 30.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.4699999999999918,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.3290000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.008000000000000007,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.20866666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.58823529411765,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}