Laura Boehner vs Maria Golovina
UTR Dubai W02 | Hard |
27 Ene 2026, 11:35
27 Ene 2026, 11:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maria Golovina
Laura …: 26,4%
Maria …: 73,6%
¿Por qué Maria Golovina?
UTR 9,86 vs 11,00
(-1,14)
— Ligera ventaja
Laura …
W28-L29
49% WR
vs UTR 9,9
L3
Maria …
W45-L17
73% WR
vs UTR 10,2
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Laura … | Maria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 4,00 | 1,16 | 25,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,79 | 1,36 | 26,4% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Laura Boehner
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1122
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Maria Golovina
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#500
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
86% (7p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Laura Boehner
Record 2025
28W - 29L (49%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
9,9
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
W
Maria Golovina
Record 2025
45W - 17L (73%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
10,2
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Maria Golovina ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10,2 vs 9,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,3000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -6,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,6316 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | -10,9300 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24388
API ID
15428770
Gamdom ID
631337
Torneo
UTR Dubai W02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24388,
"api_id": 15428770,
"gamdom_id": 631337,
"player1": "Laura Boehner",
"player2": "Maria Golovina",
"tournament": "UTR Dubai W02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-27T07:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.16
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.34,
"p2": 1.18
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2638,
"prob_p2": 0.7362,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7362,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.86,
"utr_ranking": 1122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 28,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 49.122807017543856,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.85,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.63,
"opponent_name": "Elena Giovanna Giessler"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.71,
"opponent_name": "Selina Atay"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.97,
"opponent_name": "Sarah Melany Fajmonova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.03,
"opponent_name": "Andzhelina Kostova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.31,
"opponent_name": "Klara Vaja"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:15.649428+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 500,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 45,
"utr_v4_losses": 17,
"utr_v4_wr": 72.58064516129032,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.2,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Ipek Oz"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.12,
"opponent_name": "Valentina Ryser"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.92,
"opponent_name": "Edda Mamedova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Denise Hrdinkova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Magdalena Hedrzak"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:34.657947+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 85.71428571428571,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.86,
"ranking": 1122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 500,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.21882352941176464,
"utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": -1.1400000000000006,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.30000000000000004,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -10.930009587727714,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -6,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.631647578729481,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -20.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}