Arin Pallegar vs Renaud Lefevre
UTR Newport Beach M03 | Hard |
28 Ene 2026, 22:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arin Pallegar
Arin …: 71,6% Renaud …: 28,4%
¿Por qué Arin Pallegar?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,00 (+1,00) — Ligera ventaja
Arin …
W14-L12
54% WR
vs UTR 11,9
L1
Renaud …
W6-L11
35% WR
vs UTR 11,4
L7
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Arin … Renaud … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,40 2,55 71,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,40 3,52 71,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Arin …: +7,1% Renaud …: -7,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arin Pallegar
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2491
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Renaud Lefevre
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #3889
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Arin Pallegar
Record 2025 14W - 12L (54%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,9
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Renaud Lefevre
Record 2025 6W - 11L (35%)
Racha 7L
UTR Oponentes 11,4
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0000
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 8,6957
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24399
API ID 15422124
Gamdom ID 628170
Torneo UTR Newport Beach M03
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24399,
    "api_id": 15422124,
    "gamdom_id": 628170,
    "player1": "Arin Pallegar",
    "player2": "Renaud Lefevre",
    "tournament": "UTR Newport Beach M03",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-28T18:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.64
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7161,
    "prob_p2": 0.2839,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7161,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2491,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 14,
      "utr_v4_losses": 12,
      "utr_v4_wr": 53.84615384615385,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.94,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.6,
          "opponent_name": "Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Michael Kaplan"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alessandro Ventre"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Renaud Lefevre"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Wojciech Marek"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:29.742476+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3889,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 6,
      "utr_v4_losses": 11,
      "utr_v4_wr": 35.294117647058826,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 7,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.43,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Dev Mangat"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Naara Shin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alessandro Ventre"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Arin Pallegar"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Michael Kaplan"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:19.332791+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2491,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 3889,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 1.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 8.695652173913043,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}