Hugo Hashimoto vs Renaud Lefevre
UTR Newport Beach M03 | Hard |
27 Ene 2026, 22:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hugo Hashimoto
Hugo …: 86,6% Renaud …: 13,4%
¿Por qué Hugo Hashimoto?
UTR 13,13 vs 11,00 (+2,13) — Ventaja clara
Hugo …
W44-L15
75% WR
vs UTR 12,3
L1
Renaud …
W6-L11
35% WR
vs UTR 11,4
L7
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hugo … Renaud … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,04 9,00 96,2%
Gamdom 1,04 6,60 96,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,16 7,44 86,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Hugo …: -3,1% Renaud …: +3,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hugo Hashimoto
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #986
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Renaud Lefevre
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #3889
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Hugo Hashimoto
Record 2025 44W - 15L (75%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Renaud Lefevre
Record 2025 6W - 11L (35%)
Racha 7L
UTR Oponentes 11,4
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Análisis Momentum
Hugo Hashimoto ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,3 vs 11,4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 20,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 6,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 14,1584
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,1300
utr_p1 0,6035
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 17,6544
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24404
API ID 15422130
Gamdom ID 628169
Torneo UTR Newport Beach M03
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24404,
    "api_id": 15422130,
    "gamdom_id": 628169,
    "player1": "Hugo Hashimoto",
    "player2": "Renaud Lefevre",
    "tournament": "UTR Newport Beach M03",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-27T18:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.04,
      "p2": 9.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.04,
      "p2": 6.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.04,
      "p2": 8.88
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8656,
    "prob_p2": 0.1344,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8656,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.13,
      "utr_ranking": 986,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 44,
      "utr_v4_losses": 15,
      "utr_v4_wr": 74.57627118644068,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.28,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.46,
          "opponent_name": "Woobin Shin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "JinYeong Kim"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Duhyun Eum"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ilya Maltsev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ku Keon Kang"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:40.048427+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3889,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 6,
      "utr_v4_losses": 11,
      "utr_v4_wr": 35.294117647058826,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 7,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.43,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Dev Mangat"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Naara Shin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alessandro Ventre"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Arin Pallegar"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Michael Kaplan"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:19.332791+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.13,
      "ranking": 986,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 3889,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.603529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 2.130000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.30000000000000004,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 17.65437215084957,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 6,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.158445467870822,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 20.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}