Alex Michelsen vs Daniil Medvedev
Indian Wells | Hard | Round of 32
09 Mar 2025, 21:25
09 Mar 2025, 21:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Daniil … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15.11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#90
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
51/87 = 58.6%
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking
#13
UTR Rating
15.94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
59/87 = 67.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -25.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.3421 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.0726 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1435.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -29.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12.6264 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8.7912 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.2453 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66.8717 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58.2418 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 67.0330 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -11.4727 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7.0818 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.2714 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.0590 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1.8476 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3.4752 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7.5240 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8512 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8844 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6111 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.5839 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.9699 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 13.5435 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0675 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1437 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.8300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9341 | |
| utr_advantage | -5.3462 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
2442
API ID
13537558
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Indian Wells
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Daniil Medvedev",
"tournament": "Indian Wells",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-03-09T21:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
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"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"p2": {
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"best_rank_diff": -29,
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"p2_surface_matches": 87,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
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"p2_confidence": 1.0,
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"serve_quality_diff": -11.47267412313171,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.081792882422377,
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"bp_saved_diff": -2.059000021185369,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.8475680373992276,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.4751778099743067,
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"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
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"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8511904761904762,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.884375,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.55,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6111111111111112,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.583948289313565,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.969879562650561,
"surface_rank_synergy": 13.543544633811077,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0674528301886792,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14371686108165416,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.8300000000000001,
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"utr_advantage": -5.346215780998391,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
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"utr_diff": "0.0422",
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"utr_p2": "0.012",
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}