Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova
Australian Open | Hard | Quarterfinals
28 Ene 2026, 06:35
28 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Jessica …: 35,8%
Amanda …: 64,2%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
UTR 12,75 vs 12,84
(-0,09)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jessica … | Amanda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,09 | 1,81 | 47,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,80 | 1,56 | 35,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jessica …: -7,4%
Amanda …: +7,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
34/49 = 69,4%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking
#4
UTR Rating
12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4055 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -867,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,5852 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,8072 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3243 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,3878 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72,9730 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67,9245 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,7317 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 49,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3878 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,2218 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,3575 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,1846 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,4232 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,2764 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0226 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2132 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9504 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,6464 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,2495 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,4537 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1959 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2277 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5694 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,7034 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24480
API ID
15345431
Gamdom ID
589785
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24480,
"api_id": 15345431,
"gamdom_id": 589785,
"player1": "Jessica Pegula",
"player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-28T02:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.09,
"p2": 1.81
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.05,
"p2": 1.76
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3577,
"prob_p2": 0.6423,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6423,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 12.75,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.38775510204081,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 49,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 4,
"utr_singles": 12.84,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5694117647058823,
"utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -867,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.4231660231660257,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.38775510204081,
"surface_wr_p2": 72.97297297297297,
"utr_advantage": -0.7033997655334104,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.40546510810816444,
"rank_advantage": -2,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35714285714285715,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.585217870932155,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.276447876447875,
"p1_surface_matches": 49,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.2218312189740743,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.213235294117647,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0226144511858801,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.35752895752895597,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3877551020408163,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.646447415758093,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.2494858297157645,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.4536807516288293,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.9245283018868,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1845559845559777,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3243243243243243,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19587755102040816,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2277297297297297,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.807179015186378,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}