Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova
Australian Open | Hard | Quarterfinals
28 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Jessica …: 35,8% Amanda …: 64,2%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
UTR 12,75 vs 12,84 (-0,09) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … Amanda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,09 1,81 47,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,80 1,56 35,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Jessica …: -7,4% Amanda …: +7,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 34/49 = 69,4%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking #4
UTR Rating 12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -2,0000
rank_ratio 0,6667
log_rank_ratio -0,4055
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -867,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,5852
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,8072
surface_matches_ratio 1,3243
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,3878
surface_wr_p2 72,9730
surface_wr_p1_stable 67,9245
surface_wr_p2_stable 70,7317
p1_surface_matches 49,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3878
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,2218
first_serve_won_diff 0,3575
second_serve_won_diff -1,1846
bp_saved_diff 0,4232
bp_converted_diff 5,2764
aces_per_match_diff -1,0226
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2132
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9504
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3571
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 13,6464
serve_consistency_p2 4,2495
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,4537
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1959
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2277
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0900
utr_p1 0,5588
utr_p2 0,5694
utr_advantage -0,7034
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24480
API ID 15345431
Gamdom ID 589785
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24480,
    "api_id": 15345431,
    "gamdom_id": 589785,
    "player1": "Jessica Pegula",
    "player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-28T02:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.09,
      "p2": 1.81
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.05,
      "p2": 1.76
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3577,
    "prob_p2": 0.6423,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6423,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 12.75,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.38775510204081,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 49,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 4,
      "utr_singles": 12.84,
      "utr_ranking": 4,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.75,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.84,
      "ranking": 4,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5588235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.5694117647058823,
    "utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -867,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.4231660231660257,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.38775510204081,
    "surface_wr_p2": 72.97297297297297,
    "utr_advantage": -0.7033997655334104,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.40546510810816444,
    "rank_advantage": -2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35714285714285715,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.585217870932155,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.276447876447875,
    "p1_surface_matches": 49,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.2218312189740743,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.213235294117647,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0226144511858801,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.35752895752895597,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3877551020408163,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.646447415758093,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.2494858297157645,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.4536807516288293,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.9245283018868,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.1845559845559777,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3243243243243243,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19587755102040816,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2277297297297297,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.807179015186378,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}