Margaux Maquet vs Tilwith Di Girolami
UTR Carvoeiro W02 | Hard | Final
26 Ene 2026, 17:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Margaux Maquet
Margaux …: 54,9% Tilwith …: 45,1%
¿Por qué Margaux Maquet?
UTR 10,58 vs 10,47 (+0,11) — Niveles similares
Margaux …
Sin datos
Tilwith …
W45-L32
58% WR
vs UTR 9,8
L3
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Margaux … Tilwith … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 54,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Margaux Maquet
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,58 Pro
UTR Ranking #741
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Tilwith Di Girolami
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #817
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 63% (8p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Margaux Maquet
Sin datos UTR v4
Tilwith Di Girolami
Record 2025 45W - 32L (58%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 9,8
Últimos 5:
L L L W W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2667
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 66,6667
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 24,6667
weighted_momentum_diff 18,5000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 8,0000
match_load_diff -5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 16,7022
serve_consistency_p2 15,5058
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1100
utr_p1 0,3035
utr_p2 0,2906
utr_advantage 1,0451
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24484
API ID 15432079
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR Carvoeiro W02
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24484,
    "api_id": 15432079,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Margaux Maquet",
    "player2": "Tilwith Di Girolami",
    "tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro W02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2026-01-26T13:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.549,
    "prob_p2": 0.451,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.549,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.58,
      "utr_ranking": 741,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.47,
      "utr_ranking": 817,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 45,
      "utr_v4_losses": 32,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.44155844155844,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.84,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.04,
          "opponent_name": "Nahia Berecoechea"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.93,
          "opponent_name": "Dunja Maric"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.35,
          "opponent_name": "Selena Janicijevic"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alexandra Biot"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "ofir manhard"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:49.381836+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 62.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.58,
      "ranking": 741,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.47,
      "ranking": 817,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3035294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.2905882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 66.66666666666667,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2666666666666666,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 8,
    "momentum_diff": 24.666666666666664,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.0451306413301609,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 16.702183577459756,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 15.505791239009515,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 18.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}