Margaux Maquet vs Tilwith Di Girolami
UTR Carvoeiro W02 | Hard | Final
26 Ene 2026, 17:30
26 Ene 2026, 17:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Margaux Maquet
Margaux …: 54,9%
Tilwith …: 45,1%
¿Por qué Margaux Maquet?
UTR 10,58 vs 10,47
(+0,11)
— Niveles similares
Margaux …
Sin datos
Tilwith …
W45-L32
58% WR
vs UTR 9,8
L3
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Margaux … | Tilwith … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,82 | 2,22 | 54,9% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Margaux Maquet
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#741
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Tilwith Di Girolami
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#817
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Margaux Maquet
Sin datos UTR v4
Tilwith Di Girolami
Record 2025
45W - 32L (58%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
9,8
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 24,6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 18,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 16,7022 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 15,5058 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3035 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2906 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,0451 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24484
API ID
15432079
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR Carvoeiro W02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24484,
"api_id": 15432079,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Margaux Maquet",
"player2": "Tilwith Di Girolami",
"tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro W02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2026-01-26T13:30:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.549,
"prob_p2": 0.451,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.549,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.58,
"utr_ranking": 741,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.47,
"utr_ranking": 817,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 45,
"utr_v4_losses": 32,
"utr_v4_wr": 58.44155844155844,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.84,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.04,
"opponent_name": "Nahia Berecoechea"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.93,
"opponent_name": "Dunja Maric"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.35,
"opponent_name": "Selena Janicijevic"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Alexandra Biot"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "ofir manhard"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:49.381836+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.58,
"ranking": 741,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.47,
"ranking": 817,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3035294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.2905882352941177,
"utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2666666666666666,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 8,
"momentum_diff": 24.666666666666664,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 1.0451306413301609,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 16.702183577459756,
"serve_consistency_p2": 15.505791239009515,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 18.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}