Camila Osorio vs Mai Hontama
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 07:00
28 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Camila Osorio
Camila …: 60,7%
Mai …: 39,3%
¿Por qué Camila Osorio?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Camila … | Mai … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,25 | 4,20 | 80,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,65 | 2,54 | 60,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Camila …: -14,3%
Mai …: +14,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Camila Osorio
Ranking
#84
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
11/24 = 45,8%
Mai Hontama
Ranking
#244
UTR Rating
11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#312
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 160,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,9048 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0664 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 541,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 72,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,0833 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,9524 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45,8333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0833 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,3442 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,1083 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,7167 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,6417 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,2500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6875 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -13,7050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5152 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6823 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,3335 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,2216 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2017 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0975 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 4,1667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3976 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24486
API ID
15409284
Gamdom ID
621517
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24486,
"api_id": 15409284,
"gamdom_id": 621517,
"player1": "Camila Osorio",
"player2": "Mai Hontama",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-28T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6067,
"prob_p2": 0.3933,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6067,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 84,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.83333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 244,
"utr_singles": 11.38,
"utr_ranking": 312,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.38,
"ranking": 312,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3976470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.3976470588235295,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 2.9047619047619047,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 541,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.641666666666666,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.8,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 45.83333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 72,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0663514264498881,
"rank_advantage": 160,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.0833333333333286,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.249999999999993,
"p1_surface_matches": 24,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.3441666666666734,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6875,
"combined_confidence": 0.6666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.1083333333333414,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.08333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.682325863757003,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.333547731745004,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.221565471770595,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.716666666666669,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -13.704999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 4.166666666666657,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.20166666666666666,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09749999999999992,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9523809523809539,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}