Camila Osorio vs Mai Hontama
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Camila Osorio
Camila …: 60,7% Mai …: 39,3%
¿Por qué Camila Osorio?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Camila … Mai … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
Gamdom 1,25 4,20 80,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,65 2,54 60,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Camila …: -14,3% Mai …: +14,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Camila Osorio
Ranking #84
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 11/24 = 45,8%
Mai Hontama
Ranking #244
UTR Rating 11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #312
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 160,0000
rank_ratio 2,9048
log_rank_ratio 1,0664
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 541,0000
best_rank_diff 72,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,0833
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,9524
surface_matches_ratio 1,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 45,8333
surface_wr_p2 43,7500
surface_wr_p1_stable 46,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,0000
p1_surface_matches 24,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0833
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8000
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,6667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,3442
first_serve_won_diff 1,1083
second_serve_won_diff 4,7167
bp_saved_diff -5,6417
bp_converted_diff -6,2500
aces_per_match_diff 0,6875
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -13,7050
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5152
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 5,6823
serve_consistency_p2 12,3335
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,2216
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2017
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0975
elite_surface_amplifier 4,1667
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3976
utr_p2 0,3976
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24486
API ID 15409284
Gamdom ID 621517
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24486,
    "api_id": 15409284,
    "gamdom_id": 621517,
    "player1": "Camila Osorio",
    "player2": "Mai Hontama",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-28T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6067,
    "prob_p2": 0.3933,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6067,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 84,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.83333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 244,
      "utr_singles": 11.38,
      "utr_ranking": 312,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.75,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.38,
      "ranking": 312,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3976470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.3976470588235295,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 2.9047619047619047,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 541,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.641666666666666,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 45.83333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 72,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0663514264498881,
    "rank_advantage": 160,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.0833333333333286,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.249999999999993,
    "p1_surface_matches": 24,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.3441666666666734,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6875,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.1083333333333414,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.08333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.682325863757003,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.333547731745004,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.221565471770595,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.42857142857143,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.716666666666669,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.704999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 4.166666666666657,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.20166666666666666,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09749999999999992,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9523809523809539,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}