Lanlana Tararudee vs Polina Kudermetova
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 07:00
28 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Lanlana …: 40,5%
Polina …: 59,5%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 11,89 vs 11,71
(+0,18)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lanlana … | Polina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,62 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,67 | 2,27 | 59,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,47 | 1,68 | 40,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lanlana …: -1,8%
Polina …: +1,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lanlana Tararudee
Ranking
#131
UTR Rating
11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
4/10 = 40,0%
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking
#150
UTR Rating
11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#182
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
17/35 = 48,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 19,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1450 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1354 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 59,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -77,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,2002 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,7179 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,4346 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,7343 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,8914 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9,1771 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,0686 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,9000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,8800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7468 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,7740 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,8438 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,1609 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1190 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0047 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4365 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,5254 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24487
API ID
15409294
Gamdom ID
621516
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24487,
"api_id": 15409294,
"gamdom_id": 621516,
"player1": "Lanlana Tararudee",
"player2": "Polina Kudermetova",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-28T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.6153846153846154
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.27
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.26
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4052,
"prob_p2": 0.5948,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5948,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 131,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": 11.71,
"utr_ranking": 182,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 132,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.71,
"ranking": 182,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4364705882352942,
"utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
"rank_ratio": 1.1450381679389312,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 59,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.177142857142854,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.57142857142857,
"utr_advantage": 1.5254237288135568,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -77,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.13543797089510412,
"rank_advantage": 19,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.068571428571431,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.434571428571431,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7468354430379747,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8999999999999999,
"combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.7342857142857184,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.773967898753406,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.84375572548139,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.1608968933866064,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.717948717948715,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.8914285714285697,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2857142857142857,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.879999999999995,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.119,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.004714285714285726,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.2002442002442,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}