Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Sergey Fomin
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Final
27 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Dimitar …: 56,2% Sergey …: 43,8%
¿Por qué Dimitar Kuzmanov?
UTR 14,08 vs 13,69 (+0,39) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dimitar … Sergey … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,78 2,28 56,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Dimitar …: -8,3% Sergey …: +8,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Ranking #266
UTR Rating 14,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #338
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 7/16 = 43,8%
Sergey Fomin
Ranking #338
UTR Rating 13,69 Pro
UTR Ranking #564
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 5/9 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 72,0000
rank_ratio 1,2707
log_rank_ratio 0,2395
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 51,0000
best_rank_diff 173,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,8056
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,2500
surface_matches_ratio 1,7778
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 43,7500
surface_wr_p2 55,5556
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,9161
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1250
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,4767
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,9006
first_serve_won_diff -10,0000
second_serve_won_diff -4,9000
bp_saved_diff -12,0500
bp_converted_diff 3,8500
aces_per_match_diff -2,2153
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2667
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 66,6667
momentum_diff -18,6667
weighted_momentum_diff -13,5500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 6,3467
serve_consistency_p2 5,2383
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,8280
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1345
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1276
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3900
utr_p1 0,7153
utr_p2 0,6694
utr_advantage 2,8088
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24488
API ID 15433147
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24488,
    "api_id": 15433147,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Dimitar Kuzmanov",
    "player2": "Sergey Fomin",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-27T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.61
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5619,
    "prob_p2": 0.4381,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5619,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 266,
      "utr_singles": 14.08,
      "utr_ranking": 338,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.75,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 338,
      "utr_singles": 13.69,
      "utr_ranking": 564,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.08,
      "ranking": 338,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.69,
      "ranking": 564,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7152941176470589,
    "utr_p2": 0.6694117647058823,
    "utr_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2706766917293233,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
    "points_diff": 51,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -12.050000000000004,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2666666666666666,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -18.666666666666664,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "utr_advantage": 2.8087864602088626,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 173,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2395495867013197,
    "rank_advantage": 72,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.805555555555557,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.8500000000000014,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.900555555555556,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.2152777777777777,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4766666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.999999999999993,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.125,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.34667365272517,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.238345020333442,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.8280159541128023,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.91608391608391,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.899999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7777777777777777,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.549999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13450000000000006,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12755555555555564,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.249999999999999,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}