Hynek Barton vs Yanki Erel
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Final
27 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hynek Barton
Hynek …: 78,1% Yanki …: 21,9%
¿Por qué Hynek Barton?
UTR 14,38 vs 14,05 (+0,33) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hynek … Yanki … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,29 3,50 77,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,28 4,57 78,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Hynek …: +5,0% Yanki …: -5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hynek Barton
Ranking #288
UTR Rating 14,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #207
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 10/18 = 55,6%
Yanki Erel
Ranking #451
UTR Rating 14,05 Pro
UTR Ranking #361
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 163,0000
rank_ratio 1,5660
log_rank_ratio 0,4485
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 86,0000
best_rank_diff 37,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 55,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,0455
surface_matches_ratio 18,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,5455
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 18,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,4500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 68,5778
first_serve_won_diff 69,2889
second_serve_won_diff 55,3333
bp_saved_diff 69,9111
bp_converted_diff 37,1333
aces_per_match_diff 8,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -29,8500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,9534
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 24,9170
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1074
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3370
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3300
utr_p1 0,7506
utr_p2 0,7118
utr_advantage 2,3215
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24489
API ID 15433145
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24489,
    "api_id": 15433145,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Hynek Barton",
    "player2": "Yanki Erel",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-27T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2857142857142856,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 3.49
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.781,
    "prob_p2": 0.219,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.781,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 288,
      "utr_singles": 14.38,
      "utr_ranking": 207,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 451,
      "utr_singles": 14.05,
      "utr_ranking": 361,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.38,
      "ranking": 207,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.05,
      "ranking": 361,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7505882352941178,
    "utr_p2": 0.7117647058823531,
    "utr_diff": 0.33000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5659722222222223,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 86,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 69.91111111111111,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -39.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.321491382342596,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 37,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.44850685936673246,
    "rank_advantage": 163,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 55.55555555555556,
    "bp_converted_diff": 37.13333333333333,
    "p1_surface_matches": 18,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 68.57777777777778,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 8.666666666666666,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44999999999999996,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 69.28888888888889,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.953376982288107,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 24.91704774259625,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 55.333333333333336,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 18.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -29.849999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10744444444444445,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.33699999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.0454545454545427,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}