Lukas Pokorny vs Neil Oberleitner
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Final
27 Ene 2026, 12:00
27 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lukas Pokorny
Lukas …: 64,8%
Neil …: 35,3%
¿Por qué Lukas Pokorny?
UTR 13,75 vs 13,65
(+0,10)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lukas … | Neil … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,54 | 2,84 | 64,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lukas …: +9,0%
Neil …: -9,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lukas Pokorny
Ranking
#473
UTR Rating
13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#529
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
11/17 = 64,7%
Neil Oberleitner
Ranking
#424
UTR Rating
13,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#580
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
8/17 = 47,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -49,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8964 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1094 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -19,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,6471 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,0952 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,9048 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,6190 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2941 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,8859 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,7059 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,5529 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -23,4412 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,1765 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 44,4444 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -17,5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -13,2667 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,7997 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,6220 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,9299 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1961 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0784 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6647 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,7299 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24490
API ID
15433146
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24490,
"api_id": 15433146,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lukas Pokorny",
"player2": "Neil Oberleitner",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-27T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 2.51
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6475,
"prob_p2": 0.3525,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6475,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 473,
"utr_singles": 13.75,
"utr_ranking": 529,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 424,
"utr_singles": 13.65,
"utr_ranking": 580,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 529,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.65,
"ranking": 580,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.6647058823529413,
"utr_diff": 0.09999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 0.8964059196617337,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 44.44444444444445,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": -19,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.55294117647059,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.26666666666666666,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -17.555555555555564,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.70588235294117,
"surface_wr_p2": 47.05882352941176,
"utr_advantage": 0.7299270072992675,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.10936193325997515,
"rank_advantage": -49,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.647058823529413,
"bp_converted_diff": -23.441176470588236,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.885882352941181,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.1764705882352944,
"combined_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.705882352941174,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.29411764705882354,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.799711262610495,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.622035712199436,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.9299164692936792,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.6000000000000014,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -13.266666666666673,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19605882352941173,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07841176470588246,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.095238095238098,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}