Lukas Pokorny vs Neil Oberleitner
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Final
27 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lukas Pokorny
Lukas …: 64,8% Neil …: 35,3%
¿Por qué Lukas Pokorny?
UTR 13,75 vs 13,65 (+0,10) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lukas … Neil … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 60,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,84 64,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Lukas …: +9,0% Neil …: -9,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lukas Pokorny
Ranking #473
UTR Rating 13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #529
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 11/17 = 64,7%
Neil Oberleitner
Ranking #424
UTR Rating 13,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #580
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 8/17 = 47,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -49,0000
rank_ratio 0,8964
log_rank_ratio -0,1094
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -19,0000
best_rank_diff 1,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,6471
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,0952
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,7059
surface_wr_p2 47,0588
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,9048
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,6190
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2941
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,5667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,8859
first_serve_won_diff 2,7059
second_serve_won_diff 0,6000
bp_saved_diff 2,5529
bp_converted_diff -23,4412
aces_per_match_diff 2,1765
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2667
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 44,4444
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -17,5556
weighted_momentum_diff -13,2667
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 5,7997
serve_consistency_p2 12,6220
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,9299
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1961
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0784
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1000
utr_p1 0,6765
utr_p2 0,6647
utr_advantage 0,7299
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24490
API ID 15433146
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24490,
    "api_id": 15433146,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lukas Pokorny",
    "player2": "Neil Oberleitner",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-27T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6666666666666665,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.47,
      "p2": 2.51
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6475,
    "prob_p2": 0.3525,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6475,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 473,
      "utr_singles": 13.75,
      "utr_ranking": 529,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 424,
      "utr_singles": 13.65,
      "utr_ranking": 580,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.75,
      "ranking": 529,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.65,
      "ranking": 580,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6764705882352942,
    "utr_p2": 0.6647058823529413,
    "utr_diff": 0.09999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8964059196617337,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 44.44444444444445,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -19,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.55294117647059,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.26666666666666666,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -17.555555555555564,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.70588235294117,
    "surface_wr_p2": 47.05882352941176,
    "utr_advantage": 0.7299270072992675,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 1,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.10936193325997515,
    "rank_advantage": -49,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.647058823529413,
    "bp_converted_diff": -23.441176470588236,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.885882352941181,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.1764705882352944,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.705882352941174,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.29411764705882354,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.799711262610495,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.622035712199436,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.9299164692936792,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.904761904761905,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.61904761904761,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.6000000000000014,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.266666666666673,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19605882352941173,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07841176470588246,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.095238095238098,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}