Beibit Zhukayev vs Vadym Ursu
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Final
27 Ene 2026, 14:05
27 Ene 2026, 14:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Beibit Zhukayev
Beibit …: 68,1%
Vadym …: 31,9%
¿Por qué Beibit Zhukayev?
UTR 14,40 vs 13,54
(+0,86)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Beibit … | Vadym … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,33 | 83,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,47 | 3,14 | 68,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Beibit …: -10,2%
Vadym …: +10,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Beibit Zhukayev
Ranking
#261
UTR Rating
14,40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#203
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
14/31 = 45,2%
Vadym Ursu
Ranking
#430
UTR Rating
13,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#668
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Hard
5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 169,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6475 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4993 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 98,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 128,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3,4946 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,4339 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,5833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45,1613 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0968 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 23,9108 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 13,6860 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,8065 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,8828 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,2849 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 8,1129 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 22,1800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,2027 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,9630 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,7447 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2174 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0857 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6518 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,1560 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24492
API ID
15434217
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24492,
"api_id": 15434217,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Beibit Zhukayev",
"player2": "Vadym Ursu",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-27T10:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.32
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6814,
"prob_p2": 0.3186,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6814,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 261,
"utr_singles": 14.4,
"utr_ranking": 203,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.16129032258064,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 430,
"utr_singles": 13.54,
"utr_ranking": 668,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.4,
"ranking": 203,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.54,
"ranking": 668,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7529411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.6517647058823528,
"utr_diff": 0.8600000000000012,
"rank_ratio": 1.6475095785440612,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 98,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.8827956989247241,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 28.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 45.16129032258064,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
"utr_advantage": 6.156048675733724,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 128,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.49926480136491463,
"rank_advantage": 169,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.494623655913969,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.2849462365591435,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 23.910752688172053,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 8.112903225806452,
"combined_confidence": 0.73,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 13.686021505376338,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.0967741935483871,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.20265200065165,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.962976669339449,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.7447425854150196,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.714285714285715,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.806451612903224,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.5833333333333335,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 22.18000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21738709677419366,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08566666666666678,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.433928571428572,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}