Beibit Zhukayev vs Vadym Ursu
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Final
27 Ene 2026, 14:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Beibit Zhukayev
Beibit …: 68,1% Vadym …: 31,9%
¿Por qué Beibit Zhukayev?
UTR 14,40 vs 13,54 (+0,86) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Beibit … Vadym … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,20 4,33 83,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,47 3,14 68,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Beibit …: -10,2% Vadym …: +10,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Beibit Zhukayev
Ranking #261
UTR Rating 14,40 Pro
UTR Ranking #203
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 14/31 = 45,2%
Vadym Ursu
Ranking #430
UTR Rating 13,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #668
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (5p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 169,0000
rank_ratio 1,6475
log_rank_ratio 0,4993
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 98,0000
best_rank_diff 128,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 3,4946
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,4339
surface_matches_ratio 2,5833
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 45,1613
surface_wr_p2 41,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,7143
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0968
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,7300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 23,9108
first_serve_won_diff 13,6860
second_serve_won_diff 2,8065
bp_saved_diff -0,8828
bp_converted_diff 1,2849
aces_per_match_diff 8,1129
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 22,1800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,2027
serve_consistency_p2 10,9630
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,7447
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2174
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0857
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,8600
utr_p1 0,7529
utr_p2 0,6518
utr_advantage 6,1560
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24492
API ID 15434217
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24492,
    "api_id": 15434217,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Beibit Zhukayev",
    "player2": "Vadym Ursu",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-27T10:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.32
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6814,
    "prob_p2": 0.3186,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6814,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 261,
      "utr_singles": 14.4,
      "utr_ranking": 203,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.16129032258064,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 430,
      "utr_singles": 13.54,
      "utr_ranking": 668,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.4,
      "ranking": 203,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.54,
      "ranking": 668,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.6517647058823528,
    "utr_diff": 0.8600000000000012,
    "rank_ratio": 1.6475095785440612,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 98,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.8827956989247241,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 45.16129032258064,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
    "utr_advantage": 6.156048675733724,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 128,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.49926480136491463,
    "rank_advantage": 169,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 3.494623655913969,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.2849462365591435,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 23.910752688172053,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 8.112903225806452,
    "combined_confidence": 0.73,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 13.686021505376338,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.0967741935483871,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.20265200065165,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.962976669339449,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.7447425854150196,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.714285714285715,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.806451612903224,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.5833333333333335,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 22.18000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21738709677419366,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08566666666666678,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.433928571428572,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}