Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner
Australian Open | Hard | Quarterfinals
28 Ene 2026, 12:30
28 Ene 2026, 12:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jannik Sinner
Ben …: 15,8%
Jannik …: 84,2%
¿Por qué Jannik Sinner?
UTR 15,65 vs 16,39
(-0,74)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ben … | Jannik … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 9,00 | 1,07 | 11,1% |
| Gamdom | 8,80 | 1,09 | 11,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 6,32 | 1,19 | 15,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ben …: +5,2%
Jannik …: -5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ben Shelton
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
27/42 = 64,3%
Jannik Sinner
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
16,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
39/42 = 92,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -5,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2528 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -7500,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -26,0870 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 92,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,0435 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 89,1304 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 42,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 42,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2857 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,1407 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,0714 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,1262 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,0143 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,0667 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3571 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -4,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 4,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9777 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0758 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5517 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,5590 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5730 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 35,7932 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1479 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,4236 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9871 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,6192 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24495
API ID
15345272
Gamdom ID
589726
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24495,
"api_id": 15345272,
"gamdom_id": 589726,
"player1": "Ben Shelton",
"player2": "Jannik Sinner",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-28T08:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 9.0,
"p2": 1.07
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 8.8,
"p2": 1.09
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 7.72,
"p2": 1.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1583,
"prob_p2": 0.8417,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8417,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 15.65,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 2,
"utr_singles": 16.39,
"utr_ranking": 1,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 92.85714285714286,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 1,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.7400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 0.2857142857142857,
"h2h_matches": 4,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -7500,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.01428571428572,
"h2h_wins_diff": -4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
"surface_wr_p2": 92.85714285714286,
"utr_advantage": -4.619225967540576,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.252762968495368,
"rank_advantage": -5,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5517241379310345,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -28.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.066666666666663,
"p1_surface_matches": 42,
"p2_surface_matches": 42,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.1407142857142816,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9776536312849162,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.075801749271137,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.3571428571428577,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.071428571428569,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.559004800441759,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.573032394102789,
"surface_rank_synergy": 35.79322767129623,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.04347826086957,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 89.13043478260869,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.12619047619048,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1478571428571429,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.4235714285714286,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -26.08695652173912,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -5,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 4
},
"feature_importance": {}
}