Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner
Australian Open | Hard | Quarterfinals
28 Ene 2026, 12:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jannik Sinner
Ben …: 15,8% Jannik …: 84,2%
¿Por qué Jannik Sinner?
UTR 15,65 vs 16,39 (-0,74) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ben … Jannik … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 9,00 1,07 11,1%
Gamdom 8,80 1,09 11,4%
IA Fair Odds 6,32 1,19 15,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Ben …: +5,2% Jannik …: -5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ben Shelton
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #14
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 27/42 = 64,3%
Jannik Sinner
Ranking #2
UTR Rating 16,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #1
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 39/42 = 92,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -5,0000
rank_ratio 0,2857
log_rank_ratio -1,2528
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -7500,0000
best_rank_diff -4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -28,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -26,0870
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -5,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,2857
surface_wr_p2 92,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,0435
surface_wr_p2_stable 89,1304
p1_surface_matches 42,0000
p2_surface_matches 42,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2857
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,1407
first_serve_won_diff -6,0714
second_serve_won_diff -5,1262
bp_saved_diff -5,0143
bp_converted_diff -6,0667
aces_per_match_diff 3,3571
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -4,0000
h2h_matches 4,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9777
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0758
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5517
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,5590
serve_consistency_p2 7,5730
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 35,7932
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1479
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,4236
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7400
utr_p1 0,9000
utr_p2 0,9871
utr_advantage -4,6192
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24495
API ID 15345272
Gamdom ID 589726
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24495,
    "api_id": 15345272,
    "gamdom_id": 589726,
    "player1": "Ben Shelton",
    "player2": "Jannik Sinner",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-28T08:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 9.0,
      "p2": 1.07
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 8.8,
      "p2": 1.09
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 7.72,
      "p2": 1.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1583,
    "prob_p2": 0.8417,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8417,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 15.65,
      "utr_ranking": 14,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 2,
      "utr_singles": 16.39,
      "utr_ranking": 1,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 92.85714285714286,
      "wr_surface_wins": 39,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.65,
      "ranking": 14,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 16.39,
      "ranking": 1,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9,
    "utr_p2": 0.9870588235294119,
    "utr_diff": -0.7400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2857142857142857,
    "h2h_matches": 4,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -7500,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.01428571428572,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -4,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
    "surface_wr_p2": 92.85714285714286,
    "utr_advantage": -4.619225967540576,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.252762968495368,
    "rank_advantage": -5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5517241379310345,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -28.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.066666666666663,
    "p1_surface_matches": 42,
    "p2_surface_matches": 42,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.1407142857142816,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9776536312849162,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.075801749271137,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.3571428571428577,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.071428571428569,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.559004800441759,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.573032394102789,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 35.79322767129623,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.04347826086957,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 89.13043478260869,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.12619047619048,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1478571428571429,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.4235714285714286,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -26.08695652173912,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -5,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 4
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}