Maxim Mrva vs Edas Butvilas
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
28 Ene 2026, 13:50
28 Ene 2026, 13:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Edas Butvilas
Maxim …: 12,2%
Edas …: 87,8%
¿Por qué Edas Butvilas?
UTR 14,02 vs 14,40
(-0,38)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maxim … | Edas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 8,19 | 1,14 | 12,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Maxim …: -26,9%
Edas …: +26,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maxim Mrva
Ranking
#348
UTR Rating
14,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#371
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Edas Butvilas
Ranking
#277
UTR Rating
14,40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#204
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
24/42 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -71,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7960 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2282 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -55,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -141,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,9693 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0238 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,5217 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 42,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6567 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,9919 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,3905 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,7095 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12,4333 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,9333 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,4048 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -24,4444 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -17,9667 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 148,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,3557 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3663 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 13,0391 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4290 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0004 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7082 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7529 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,6742 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24512
API ID
15438385
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24512,
"api_id": 15438385,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maxim Mrva",
"player2": "Edas Butvilas",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-28T09:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.53
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.24,
"p2": 1.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1221,
"prob_p2": 0.8779,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8779,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 348,
"utr_singles": 14.02,
"utr_ranking": 371,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 277,
"utr_singles": 14.4,
"utr_ranking": 204,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 371,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.4,
"ranking": 204,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7529411764705882,
"utr_diff": -0.3800000000000008,
"rank_ratio": 0.7959770114942529,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": -55,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.43333333333333,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.13333333333333341,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -24.444444444444443,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": -2.6741731175228765,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -141,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.22818497358713577,
"rank_advantage": -71,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -57.14285714285714,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.93333333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 42,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.991904761904749,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.404761904761905,
"combined_confidence": 0.6566666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.390476190476178,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.3557453141023377,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.366268790291676,
"surface_rank_synergy": 13.03914134783633,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.52173913043478,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.709523809523816,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.023809523809523808,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -17.96666666666667,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 148,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.42900000000000005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0004285714285714448,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.9692753623188395,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}