Maxim Mrva vs Edas Butvilas
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 32
28 Ene 2026, 13:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Edas Butvilas
Maxim …: 12,2% Edas …: 87,8%
¿Por qué Edas Butvilas?
UTR 14,02 vs 14,40 (-0,38) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Maxim … Edas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,53 42,0%
IA Fair Odds 8,19 1,14 12,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Maxim …: -26,9% Edas …: +26,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maxim Mrva
Ranking #348
UTR Rating 14,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #371
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Edas Butvilas
Ranking #277
UTR Rating 14,40 Pro
UTR Ranking #204
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 24/42 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -71,0000
rank_ratio 0,7960
log_rank_ratio -0,2282
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -55,0000
best_rank_diff -141,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -57,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,9693
surface_matches_ratio 0,0238
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,5217
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 42,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6567
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,9919
first_serve_won_diff -4,3905
second_serve_won_diff 6,7095
bp_saved_diff -12,4333
bp_converted_diff 15,9333
aces_per_match_diff -1,4048
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1333
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 55,5556
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -24,4444
weighted_momentum_diff -17,9667
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 148,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 2,3557
serve_consistency_p2 6,3663
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 13,0391
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4290
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0004
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3800
utr_p1 0,7082
utr_p2 0,7529
utr_advantage -2,6742
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24512
API ID 15438385
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24512,
    "api_id": 15438385,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Maxim Mrva",
    "player2": "Edas Butvilas",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-28T09:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.53
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.24,
      "p2": 1.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1221,
    "prob_p2": 0.8779,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8779,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 348,
      "utr_singles": 14.02,
      "utr_ranking": 371,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 277,
      "utr_singles": 14.4,
      "utr_ranking": 204,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.02,
      "ranking": 371,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.4,
      "ranking": 204,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.708235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": -0.3800000000000008,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7959770114942529,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": -55,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -12.43333333333333,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.13333333333333341,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -24.444444444444443,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": -2.6741731175228765,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -141,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.22818497358713577,
    "rank_advantage": -71,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -57.14285714285714,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.93333333333333,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 42,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.991904761904749,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.404761904761905,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6566666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.390476190476178,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.3557453141023377,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.366268790291676,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 13.03914134783633,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.52173913043478,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.709523809523816,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.023809523809523808,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -17.96666666666667,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 148,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.42900000000000005,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0004285714285714448,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.9692753623188395,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}