Sofia Costoulas vs Yexin MA
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 07:00
28 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yexin MA
Sofia …: 27,3%
Yexin …: 72,7%
¿Por qué Yexin MA?
UTR 11,72 vs 11,60
(+0,12)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sofia … | Yexin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 2,75 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,47 | 2,80 | 68,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,66 | 1,38 | 27,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sofia …: -38,9%
Yexin …: +38,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sofia Costoulas
Ranking
#143
UTR Rating
11,72 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Yexin MA
Ranking
#225
UTR Rating
11,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#217
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 82,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5734 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4533 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 181,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 34,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,9778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 32,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,8095 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,5450 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,0500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -14,4750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,5460 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,4191 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,3507 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -18,8857 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3320 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2487 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -41,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4235 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,0292 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24515
API ID
15409289
Gamdom ID
621520
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24515,
"api_id": 15409289,
"gamdom_id": 621520,
"player1": "Sofia Costoulas",
"player2": "Yexin MA",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-28T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 2.8
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.68
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2732,
"prob_p2": 0.7268,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7268,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 143,
"utr_singles": 11.72,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 225,
"utr_singles": 11.6,
"utr_ranking": 217,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.72,
"ranking": 179,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.6,
"ranking": 217,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4376470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.4235294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.120000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 1.5734265734265733,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 181,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.300000000000004,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -12.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": 1.029159519725566,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 34,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4532557719445128,
"rank_advantage": 82,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -41.66666666666666,
"bp_converted_diff": -14.474999999999994,
"p1_surface_matches": 4,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.545000000000002,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.050000000000004,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.41905497930336,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.350697649862773,
"surface_rank_synergy": -18.885657164354694,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.809523809523796,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.399999999999991,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.546000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -41.66666666666666,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3320000000000001,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2486666666666666,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.977777777777774,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}