Tatjana Maria vs Tatiana Prozorova
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 09:40
28 Ene 2026, 09:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tatiana Prozorova
Tatjana …: 49,9%
Tatiana …: 50,1%
¿Por qué Tatiana Prozorova?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tatjana … | Tatiana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,75 | 1,48 | 36,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,01 | 1,99 | 49,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tatjana …: +14,4%
Tatiana …: -14,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tatjana Maria
Ranking
#42
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#131
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
9/27 = 33,3%
Tatiana Prozorova
Ranking
#174
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 132,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,1429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,4214 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 829,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 104,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -21,2121 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,0186 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,4545 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 35,4839 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6733 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,3208 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,5481 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,7519 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -10,4926 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -13,4741 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,1347 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,6650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5652 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7235 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,2765 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -30,1506 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2987 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1775 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -42,4242 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24516
API ID
15409282
Gamdom ID
621514
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24516,
"api_id": 15409282,
"gamdom_id": 621514,
"player1": "Tatjana Maria",
"player2": "Tatiana Prozorova",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-28T05:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.48
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.68,
"p2": 1.44
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4987,
"prob_p2": 0.5013,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5013,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 42,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 131,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 174,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 131,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 4.142857142857143,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 829,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -10.492592592592601,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -14.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 104,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.421385680931161,
"rank_advantage": 132,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -21.21212121212121,
"bp_converted_diff": -13.474074074074075,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.320841750841758,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5652173913043478,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.134680134680135,
"combined_confidence": 0.6733333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.5481481481481438,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.723530417825664,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.276549118601471,
"surface_rank_synergy": -30.15060535308523,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.483870967741936,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.7518518518518604,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.4545454545454546,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.664999999999992,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -42.42424242424242,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.29866666666666675,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17745454545454542,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.018637992831543,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}