Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Lin Zhu
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 10:30
28 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lin Zhu
Mananchaya …: 45,4%
Lin …: 54,6%
¿Por qué Lin Zhu?
UTR 11,71 vs 11,79
(-0,08)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mananchaya … | Lin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,27 | 1,67 | 44,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,20 | 1,83 | 45,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mananchaya …: +6,1%
Lin …: -6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Ranking
#197
UTR Rating
11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#181
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
7/14 = 50,0%
Lin Zhu
Ranking
#164
UTR Rating
11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#159
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -33,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8325 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1833 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -64,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -69,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,7037 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,4471 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,4286 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -20,5510 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5484 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4700 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,9582 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,3096 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0330 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1044 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4459 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6809 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24517
API ID
15409295
Gamdom ID
621512
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24517,
"api_id": 15409295,
"gamdom_id": 621512,
"player1": "Mananchaya Sawangkaew",
"player2": "Lin Zhu",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-28T06:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.375,
"p2": 1.5333333333333332
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.27,
"p2": 1.67
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.15,
"p2": 1.66
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4536,
"prob_p2": 0.5464,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5464,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 197,
"utr_singles": 11.71,
"utr_ranking": 181,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 164,
"utr_singles": 11.79,
"utr_ranking": 159,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 181,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.79,
"ranking": 159,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4458823529411764,
"utr_diff": -0.0799999999999983,
"rank_ratio": 0.8324873096446701,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": -64,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.200000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": -0.6808510638297728,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -69,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.18333730091379002,
"rank_advantage": -33,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.142857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.4471428571428575,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5483870967741935,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.4285714285714286,
"combined_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.3999999999999986,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.469993426415838,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.958185620021059,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.309552149384215,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.2999999999999972,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -20.551000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03300000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10442857142857148,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7037037037037046,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}