Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Lin Zhu
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lin Zhu
Mananchaya …: 45,4% Lin …: 54,6%
¿Por qué Lin Zhu?
UTR 11,71 vs 11,79 (-0,08) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mananchaya … Lin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,53 42,1%
Gamdom 2,27 1,67 44,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,20 1,83 45,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Mananchaya …: +6,1% Lin …: -6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Ranking #197
UTR Rating 11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #181
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 7/14 = 50,0%
Lin Zhu
Ranking #164
UTR Rating 11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #159
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -33,0000
rank_ratio 0,8325
log_rank_ratio -0,1833
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -64,0000
best_rank_diff -69,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,7037
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4444
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,4867
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,4471
first_serve_won_diff 2,4000
second_serve_won_diff 1,3000
bp_saved_diff -3,2000
bp_converted_diff 7,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,4286
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -20,5510
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5484
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 8,4700
serve_consistency_p2 9,9582
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,3096
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0330
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1044
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0800
utr_p1 0,4365
utr_p2 0,4459
utr_advantage -0,6809
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24517
API ID 15409295
Gamdom ID 621512
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24517,
    "api_id": 15409295,
    "gamdom_id": 621512,
    "player1": "Mananchaya Sawangkaew",
    "player2": "Lin Zhu",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-28T06:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.375,
      "p2": 1.5333333333333332
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.27,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.15,
      "p2": 1.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4536,
    "prob_p2": 0.5464,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5464,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 197,
      "utr_singles": 11.71,
      "utr_ranking": 181,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 164,
      "utr_singles": 11.79,
      "utr_ranking": 159,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.71,
      "ranking": 181,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.79,
      "ranking": 159,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4364705882352942,
    "utr_p2": 0.4458823529411764,
    "utr_diff": -0.0799999999999983,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8324873096446701,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -64,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.200000000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": -0.6808510638297728,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -69,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.18333730091379002,
    "rank_advantage": -33,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.142857142857146,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.4471428571428575,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5483870967741935,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.4285714285714286,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.3999999999999986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.469993426415838,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.958185620021059,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.309552149384215,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.2999999999999972,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -20.551000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03300000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10442857142857148,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7037037037037046,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}