Donna Vekić vs Mariia Tkacheva
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 09:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Donna Vekić
Donna …: 80,0% Mariia …: 20,0%
¿Por qué Donna Vekić?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Donna … Mariia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,13 5,50 88,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,25 5,01 80,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Donna …: -3,0% Mariia …: +3,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Donna Vekić
Ranking #72
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 7/20 = 35,0%
Mariia Tkacheva
Ranking #480
UTR Rating 11,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #311
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 408,0000
rank_ratio 6,6667
log_rank_ratio 1,8971
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 821,0000
best_rank_diff 249,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 35,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 18,1250
surface_matches_ratio 20,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 35,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 37,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 0,0000
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,4833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 52,0100
first_serve_won_diff 62,5000
second_serve_won_diff 49,2000
bp_saved_diff 56,6000
bp_converted_diff 52,0000
aces_per_match_diff 3,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0667
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 42,0000
momentum_p2 44,4444
momentum_diff -2,4444
weighted_momentum_diff 4,2293
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8511
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,5347
serve_consistency_p2 12,9167
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 66,3992
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5580
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0920
elite_surface_amplifier 70,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3988
utr_p2 0,3988
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24518
API ID 15409291
Gamdom ID -
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24518,
    "api_id": 15409291,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Donna Veki\u0107",
    "player2": "Mariia Tkacheva",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-28T05:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.125,
      "p2": 5.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8004,
    "prob_p2": 0.1996,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8004,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 72,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 35.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 480,
      "utr_singles": 11.39,
      "utr_ranking": 311,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.39,
      "ranking": 311,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3988235294117648,
    "utr_p2": 0.3988235294117648,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 6.666666666666667,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 44.44444444444445,
    "points_diff": 821,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 56.6,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.06666666666666671,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -2.444444444444443,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 35.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 249,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.8971199848858813,
    "rank_advantage": 408,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 35.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 52.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 52.01,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.851063829787234,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 62.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.53470205668002,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.916651427587142,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 66.39919947100584,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 49.2,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 20.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 4.229333333333329,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 70.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.558,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09199999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.124999999999996,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}