Donna Vekić vs Mariia Tkacheva
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 09:55
28 Ene 2026, 09:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Donna Vekić
Donna …: 80,0%
Mariia …: 20,0%
¿Por qué Donna Vekić?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Donna … | Mariia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,13 | 5,50 | 88,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,25 | 5,01 | 80,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Donna …: -3,0%
Mariia …: +3,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Donna Vekić
Ranking
#72
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
7/20 = 35,0%
Mariia Tkacheva
Ranking
#480
UTR Rating
11,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#311
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 408,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8971 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 821,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 249,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 35,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 18,1250 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 20,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 35,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 52,0100 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 62,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 49,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 56,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 52,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 44,4444 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,4444 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4,2293 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8511 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,5347 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,9167 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 66,3992 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5580 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0920 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 70,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3988 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3988 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24518
API ID
15409291
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24518,
"api_id": 15409291,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Donna Veki\u0107",
"player2": "Mariia Tkacheva",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-28T05:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.125,
"p2": 5.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8004,
"prob_p2": 0.1996,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8004,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 72,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 35.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 480,
"utr_singles": 11.39,
"utr_ranking": 311,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.39,
"ranking": 311,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3988235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.3988235294117648,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 6.666666666666667,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 44.44444444444445,
"points_diff": 821,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 56.6,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.06666666666666671,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -2.444444444444443,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 35.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 249,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8971199848858813,
"rank_advantage": 408,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 35.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 52.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 52.01,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.851063829787234,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.4833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 62.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.53470205668002,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.916651427587142,
"surface_rank_synergy": 66.39919947100584,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 49.2,
"surface_matches_ratio": 20.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.229333333333329,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 70.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.558,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09199999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.124999999999996,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}