Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Solana Sierra
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 12:00
28 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Solana Sierra
Yuliia …: 37,3%
Solana …: 62,7%
¿Por qué Solana Sierra?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,06
(-0,06)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yuliia … | Solana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,67 | 2,27 | 59,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,68 | 1,59 | 37,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yuliia …: -18,5%
Solana …: +18,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Ranking
#110
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#106
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
10/27 = 37,0%
Solana Sierra
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#89
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -47,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5727 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5573 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -317,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,8201 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,9761 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,9286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 37,0370 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 38,7097 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2593 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,1414 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,3714 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,0429 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,9571 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,9714 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0714 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 13,2900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4333 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9877 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,6254 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,2438 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0826 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1184 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,4988 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24519
API ID
15409283
Gamdom ID
621507
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24519,
"api_id": 15409283,
"gamdom_id": 621507,
"player1": "Yuliia Starodubtseva",
"player2": "Solana Sierra",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-28T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.27
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3728,
"prob_p2": 0.6272,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6272,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 110,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 106,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.03703703703704,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 63,
"utr_singles": 12.06,
"utr_ranking": 89,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 106,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.06,
"ranking": 89,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4776470588235295,
"utr_diff": -0.0600000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 0.5727272727272728,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -317,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.9571428571428484,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 21.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 37.03703703703704,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": -0.4987531172069866,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5573456394008836,
"rank_advantage": -47,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.820105820105816,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.971428571428575,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.141428571428577,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.43333333333333335,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.0714285714285716,
"combined_confidence": 0.6933333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.3714285714285808,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.25925925925925924,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.987713209543761,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.625358551546223,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.24381059968768,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.70967741935484,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.0428571428571445,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.9285714285714286,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 13.290000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08262962962962955,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1184285714285715,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.976105137395458,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}