Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Solana Sierra
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Solana Sierra
Yuliia …: 37,3% Solana …: 62,7%
¿Por qué Solana Sierra?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,06 (-0,06) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yuliia … Solana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 60,0%
Gamdom 1,67 2,27 59,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,68 1,59 37,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Yuliia …: -18,5% Solana …: +18,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Ranking #110
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #106
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 10/27 = 37,0%
Solana Sierra
Ranking #63
UTR Rating 12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #89
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -47,0000
rank_ratio 0,5727
log_rank_ratio -0,5573
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -317,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,8201
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,9761
surface_matches_ratio 1,9286
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 37,0370
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 38,7097
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4444
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2593
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,6933
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,1414
first_serve_won_diff -1,3714
second_serve_won_diff -1,0429
bp_saved_diff 1,9571
bp_converted_diff 5,9714
aces_per_match_diff -2,0714
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 13,2900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4333
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 4,9877
serve_consistency_p2 5,6254
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,2438
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0826
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1184
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0600
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4776
utr_advantage -0,4988
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24519
API ID 15409283
Gamdom ID 621507
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24519,
    "api_id": 15409283,
    "gamdom_id": 621507,
    "player1": "Yuliia Starodubtseva",
    "player2": "Solana Sierra",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-28T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6666666666666665,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.27
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.23
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3728,
    "prob_p2": 0.6272,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6272,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 110,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 106,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.03703703703704,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 63,
      "utr_singles": 12.06,
      "utr_ranking": 89,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 106,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.06,
      "ranking": 89,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.4776470588235295,
    "utr_diff": -0.0600000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5727272727272728,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -317,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.9571428571428484,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 21.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 37.03703703703704,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": -0.4987531172069866,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5573456394008836,
    "rank_advantage": -47,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.820105820105816,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.971428571428575,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.141428571428577,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.43333333333333335,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.0714285714285716,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6933333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.3714285714285808,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.25925925925925924,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.987713209543761,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.625358551546223,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.24381059968768,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.70967741935484,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.0428571428571445,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.9285714285714286,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 13.290000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08262962962962955,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1184285714285715,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.976105137395458,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}