Himeno Sakatsume vs Alexandra Eala
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Himeno …: 33,6% Alexandra …: 66,4%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
UTR 12,04 vs 12,18 (-0,14) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Himeno … Alexandra … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,40 36,4%
Gamdom 2,70 1,49 37,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,97 1,51 33,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Himeno …: -0,1% Alexandra …: +0,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking #140
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #94
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 4/7 = 57,1%
Alexandra Eala
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #59
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -91,0000
rank_ratio 0,3500
log_rank_ratio -1,0498
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -645,0000
best_rank_diff -91,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,2418
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,0455
surface_matches_ratio 0,2692
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,1429
surface_wr_p2 65,3846
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,3247
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,3333
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,6300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,5060
first_serve_won_diff 9,1000
second_serve_won_diff -10,0000
bp_saved_diff -5,6000
bp_converted_diff 4,0000
aces_per_match_diff 1,9780
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,1700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1837
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 4,8994
serve_consistency_p2 6,4393
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,6524
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1624
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0628
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1400
utr_p1 0,4753
utr_p2 0,4918
utr_advantage -1,1561
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24520
API ID 15409290
Gamdom ID 621509
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24520,
    "api_id": 15409290,
    "gamdom_id": 621509,
    "player1": "Himeno Sakatsume",
    "player2": "Alexandra Eala",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-28T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.7,
      "p2": 1.49
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.55,
      "p2": 1.48
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3363,
    "prob_p2": 0.6637,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6637,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 140,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 94,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 49,
      "utr_singles": 12.18,
      "utr_ranking": 59,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 94,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.18,
      "ranking": 59,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4752941176470587,
    "utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -0.14000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 0.35,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -645,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.599999999999994,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.38461538461539,
    "utr_advantage": -1.1560693641618545,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -91,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0498221244986778,
    "rank_advantage": -91,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.241758241758248,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.999999999999993,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.506043956043953,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.183673469387755,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.9780219780219779,
    "combined_confidence": 0.63,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 9.099999999999994,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.899448176658004,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.439262087902361,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.65238014696713,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.32467532467532,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -9.999999999999993,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2692307692307692,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.170000000000016,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16242857142857137,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06284615384615388,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.045454545454546,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}