Himeno Sakatsume vs Alexandra Eala
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
28 Ene 2026, 14:00
28 Ene 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Himeno …: 33,6%
Alexandra …: 66,4%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
UTR 12,04 vs 12,18
(-0,14)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Himeno … | Alexandra … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,40 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,70 | 1,49 | 37,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,97 | 1,51 | 33,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Himeno …: -0,1%
Alexandra …: +0,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#94
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Alexandra Eala
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#59
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -91,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0498 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -645,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -91,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,2418 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,0455 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2692 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,3846 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,3247 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,5060 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 9,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -10,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,9780 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9,1700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1837 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,8994 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4393 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,6524 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1624 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0628 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1561 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24520
API ID
15409290
Gamdom ID
621509
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24520,
"api_id": 15409290,
"gamdom_id": 621509,
"player1": "Himeno Sakatsume",
"player2": "Alexandra Eala",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-28T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.7,
"p2": 1.49
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.55,
"p2": 1.48
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3363,
"prob_p2": 0.6637,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6637,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 94,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 59,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 94,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.18,
"ranking": 59,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_diff": -0.14000000000000057,
"rank_ratio": 0.35,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -645,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.599999999999994,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.38461538461539,
"utr_advantage": -1.1560693641618545,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -91,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0498221244986778,
"rank_advantage": -91,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.241758241758248,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.999999999999993,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.506043956043953,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.183673469387755,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.9780219780219779,
"combined_confidence": 0.63,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 9.099999999999994,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.899448176658004,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.439262087902361,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.65238014696713,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": -9.999999999999993,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2692307692307692,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.170000000000016,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16242857142857137,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06284615384615388,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.045454545454546,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}