Tatiana Prozorova vs Sofia Costoulas
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
29 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tatiana Prozorova
Tatiana …: 64,4% Sofia …: 35,6%
¿Por qué Tatiana Prozorova?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tatiana … Sofia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
Gamdom 1,54 2,55 64,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,55 2,81 64,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Tatiana …: +5,6% Sofia …: -5,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tatiana Prozorova
Ranking #174
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 6/11 = 54,5%
Sofia Costoulas
Ranking #143
UTR Rating 11,72 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -31,0000
rank_ratio 0,8218
log_rank_ratio -0,1962
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -103,0000
best_rank_diff 3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 29,5455
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,4762
surface_matches_ratio 2,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,5455
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 32,1429
p1_surface_matches 11,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4467
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,4000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,7195
first_serve_won_diff 3,4500
second_serve_won_diff -3,3000
bp_saved_diff -3,7000
bp_converted_diff 21,3750
aces_per_match_diff -3,7273
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14,2300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,9981
serve_consistency_p2 7,9343
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -5,7971
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0765
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2810
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4376
utr_p2 0,4376
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24539
API ID 15409286
Gamdom ID 621513
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24539,
    "api_id": 15409286,
    "gamdom_id": 621513,
    "player1": "Tatiana Prozorova",
    "player2": "Sofia Costoulas",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-29T06:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.73
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6444,
    "prob_p2": 0.3556,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6444,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 143,
      "utr_singles": 11.72,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.72,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4376470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.4376470588235295,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8218390804597702,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": -103,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.700000000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 3,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1962106689546217,
    "rank_advantage": -31,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 29.54545454545454,
    "bp_converted_diff": 21.374999999999993,
    "p1_surface_matches": 11,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.719545454545454,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.7272727272727275,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.450000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.998139424183615,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.934254869891069,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -5.797133400932004,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 32.14285714285714,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.3000000000000114,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.230000000000018,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07645454545454544,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.281,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.47619047619048,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}