Coleman Wong vs Stefano Travaglia
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 16
29 Ene 2026, 17:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coleman Wong
Coleman …: 52,7% Stefano …: 47,3%
¿Por qué Coleman Wong?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Coleman … Stefano … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,90 2,11 52,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Coleman …: -16,1% Stefano …: +16,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coleman Wong
Ranking #132
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 22/38 = 57,9%
Stefano Travaglia
Ranking #191
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #165
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 7/12 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 59,0000
rank_ratio 1,4470
log_rank_ratio 0,3695
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 148,0000
best_rank_diff -68,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,4386
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,6518
surface_matches_ratio 3,1667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,8947
surface_wr_p2 58,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,1429
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,2500
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1579
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,7300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,3760
first_serve_won_diff -3,0640
second_serve_won_diff -5,2482
bp_saved_diff 4,3044
bp_converted_diff -0,8570
aces_per_match_diff 2,7412
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,3300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1746
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7692
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 6,4489
serve_consistency_p2 5,6599
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,1620
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0199
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1423
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7682
utr_p2 0,7682
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24542
API ID 15403390
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24542,
    "api_id": 15403390,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Coleman Wong",
    "player2": "Stefano Travaglia",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-29T13:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3599999999999999,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.34,
      "p2": 3.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5268,
    "prob_p2": 0.4732,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5268,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 132,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 191,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 165,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 148,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.304385964912285,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.89473684210527,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": -68,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "rank_advantage": 59,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "surface_wr_diff": -0.43859649122806843,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.8570175438596479,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.3759649122806934,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1746031746031746,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.7412280701754375,
    "combined_confidence": 0.73,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.0640350877193185,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.15789473684210525,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.448940672922369,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.659915530463586,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.16204890590362173,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.248245614035092,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.1666666666666665,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.3300000000000125,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.019947368421052714,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1423333333333333,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.6517857142857113,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}