Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Joel Schwaerzler
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 16
29 Ene 2026, 12:00
29 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Thiago …: 84,3%
Joel …: 15,8%
¿Por qué Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Thiago … | Joel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,00 | 82,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,19 | 6,35 | 84,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Thiago …: +7,6%
Joel …: -7,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Ranking
#103
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
9/14 = 64,3%
Joel Schwaerzler
Ranking
#245
UTR Rating
14,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#300
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 142,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,3786 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8665 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 380,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 145,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,9444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 14,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,2500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2857 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,1086 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,8286 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 20,2571 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 42,0143 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,4286 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14,5650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,8445 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7568 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 55,7055 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0009 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3580 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 64,2857 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7247 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7247 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24544
API ID
15403388
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24544,
"api_id": 15403388,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Thiago Agustin Tirante",
"player2": "Joel Schwaerzler",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-29T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8425,
"prob_p2": 0.1575,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8425,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 103,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 245,
"utr_singles": 14.16,
"utr_ranking": 300,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.16,
"ranking": 300,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7247058823529412,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 2.378640776699029,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 380,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 20.257142857142867,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 14.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 145,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8665292223150911,
"rank_advantage": 142,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 64.28571428571429,
"bp_converted_diff": 42.01428571428572,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.108571428571437,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.428571428571429,
"combined_confidence": 0.4,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.6000000000000085,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.844476791976801,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.756762145125538,
"surface_rank_synergy": 55.70545000597015,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.25,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.828571428571422,
"surface_matches_ratio": 14.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.564999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 64.28571428571429,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0008571428571428896,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.358,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.944444444444446,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}