Yannick Hanfmann vs Kyrian Jacquet
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 16
29 Ene 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yannick Hanfmann
Yannick …: 52,2% Kyrian …: 47,8%
¿Por qué Yannick Hanfmann?
UTR 15,26 vs 14,63 (+0,63) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yannick … Kyrian … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 59,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,92 2,09 52,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Yannick …: -3,5% Kyrian …: +3,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yannick Hanfmann
Ranking #102
UTR Rating 15,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #55
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 9/17 = 52,9%
Kyrian Jacquet
Ranking #128
UTR Rating 14,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #145
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 26,0000
rank_ratio 1,2549
log_rank_ratio 0,2271
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 134,0000
best_rank_diff 83,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -15,4799
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,1905
surface_matches_ratio 0,4474
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,9412
surface_wr_p2 68,4211
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,3810
surface_wr_p2_stable 66,6667
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0588
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,0097
first_serve_won_diff -5,1319
second_serve_won_diff -0,6328
bp_saved_diff -2,2907
bp_converted_diff -0,9152
aces_per_match_diff 1,3731
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 8,6110
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7458
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7692
serve_consistency_p1 5,0643
serve_consistency_p2 5,9821
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,5148
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0034
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2102
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,6300
utr_p1 0,8541
utr_p2 0,7800
utr_advantage 4,2155
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24545
API ID 15403389
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24545,
    "api_id": 15403389,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Yannick Hanfmann",
    "player2": "Kyrian Jacquet",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-29T10:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.66,
      "p2": 2.13
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.522,
    "prob_p2": 0.478,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.522,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 102,
      "utr_singles": 15.26,
      "utr_ranking": 55,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 128,
      "utr_singles": 14.63,
      "utr_ranking": 145,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.26,
      "ranking": 55,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.63,
      "ranking": 145,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8541176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.7800000000000001,
    "utr_diff": 0.629999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2549019607843137,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 134,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.290712074303414,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 10.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
    "utr_advantage": 4.215456674473062,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 83,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.22705745063534608,
    "rank_advantage": 26,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -15.479876160990706,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.915170278637774,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.009659442724469613,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7457627118644068,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.3730650154798756,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.131888544891652,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.064303939834654,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.9820657382443505,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.5148212172654176,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.38095238095239,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.6328173374612973,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4473684210526316,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 8.611000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0034117647058823364,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21021052631578951,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.19047619047618,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}