Donna Vekić vs Lin Zhu
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
29 Ene 2026, 12:45
29 Ene 2026, 12:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lin Zhu
Donna …: 40,3%
Lin …: 59,7%
¿Por qué Lin Zhu?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Donna … | Lin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,38 | 65,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,48 | 1,67 | 40,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Donna …: -20,5%
Lin …: +20,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Donna Vekić
Ranking
#72
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
7/20 = 35,0%
Lin Zhu
Ranking
#164
UTR Rating
11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#159
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 92,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,2778 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8232 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 505,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 14,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,8571 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,0046 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 35,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,7514 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2857 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,4510 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8511 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5484 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,5866 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4429 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,4680 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2420 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0206 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -7,8571 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4459 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24546
API ID
15409287
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24546,
"api_id": 15409287,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Donna Veki\u0107",
"player2": "Lin Zhu",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-29T08:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5333333333333332,
"p2": 2.375
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4027,
"prob_p2": 0.5973,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5973,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 72,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 35.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 164,
"utr_singles": 11.79,
"utr_ranking": 159,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.79,
"ranking": 159,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4458823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 2.2777777777777777,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 505,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 35.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 14,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8232003088081431,
"rank_advantage": 92,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.857142857142854,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.751428571428569,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.851063829787234,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5483870967741935,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2857142857142858,
"combined_confidence": 0.5766666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.799999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.586578486738309,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.442912595467769,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.468002426349694,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.3999999999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4285714285714286,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.451000000000008,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -7.857142857142854,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2420000000000001,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02057142857142863,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.004629629629629,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}