Donna Vekić vs Lin Zhu
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
29 Ene 2026, 12:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lin Zhu
Donna …: 40,3% Lin …: 59,7%
¿Por qué Lin Zhu?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Donna … Lin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,38 65,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,48 1,67 40,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Donna …: -20,5% Lin …: +20,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Donna Vekić
Ranking #72
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 7/20 = 35,0%
Lin Zhu
Ranking #164
UTR Rating 11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #159
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 92,0000
rank_ratio 2,2778
log_rank_ratio 0,8232
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 505,0000
best_rank_diff 14,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,8571
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,0046
surface_matches_ratio 1,4286
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 35,0000
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 37,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4444
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,5767
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,7514
first_serve_won_diff 3,8000
second_serve_won_diff -2,4000
bp_saved_diff 7,0000
bp_converted_diff 9,0000
aces_per_match_diff 1,2857
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,4510
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8511
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5484
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 5,5866
serve_consistency_p2 9,4429
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,4680
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2420
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0206
elite_surface_amplifier -7,8571
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4459
utr_p2 0,4459
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24546
API ID 15409287
Gamdom ID -
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24546,
    "api_id": 15409287,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Donna Veki\u0107",
    "player2": "Lin Zhu",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-29T08:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5333333333333332,
      "p2": 2.375
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4027,
    "prob_p2": 0.5973,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5973,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 72,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 35.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 164,
      "utr_singles": 11.79,
      "utr_ranking": 159,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.79,
      "ranking": 159,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4458823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.4458823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 2.2777777777777777,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 505,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 35.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 14,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8232003088081431,
    "rank_advantage": 92,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.857142857142854,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.751428571428569,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.851063829787234,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5483870967741935,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.2857142857142858,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5766666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.799999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.586578486738309,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.442912595467769,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.468002426349694,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.3999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4285714285714286,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -11.451000000000008,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -7.857142857142854,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2420000000000001,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02057142857142863,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.004629629629629,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}