Lanlana Tararudee vs Solana Sierra
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
29 Ene 2026, 14:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Solana Sierra
Lanlana …: 33,0% Solana …: 67,0%
¿Por qué Solana Sierra?
UTR 11,89 vs 12,06 (-0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lanlana … Solana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,9%
Gamdom 1,50 2,70 66,7%
IA Fair Odds 3,03 1,49 33,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Lanlana …: -24,7% Solana …: +24,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lanlana Tararudee
Ranking #131
UTR Rating 11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #132
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 4/10 = 40,0%
Solana Sierra
Ranking #63
UTR Rating 12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #89
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -68,0000
rank_ratio 0,4809
log_rank_ratio -0,7321
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -469,0000
best_rank_diff -68,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,8571
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,7302
surface_matches_ratio 0,7143
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 40,0000
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,8571
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4444
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,4600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,1786
first_serve_won_diff 5,6286
second_serve_won_diff -1,6429
bp_saved_diff -5,4429
bp_converted_diff -1,3286
aces_per_match_diff 1,4286
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,7340
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 4,6077
serve_consistency_p2 5,5819
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,0916
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0320
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1394
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1700
utr_p1 0,4576
utr_p2 0,4776
utr_advantage -1,4196
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24547
API ID 15409292
Gamdom ID 621511
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24547,
    "api_id": 15409292,
    "gamdom_id": 621511,
    "player1": "Lanlana Tararudee",
    "player2": "Solana Sierra",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-29T10:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6153846153846154,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.45,
      "p2": 2.65
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3296,
    "prob_p2": 0.6704,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6704,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 131,
      "utr_singles": 11.89,
      "utr_ranking": 132,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 63,
      "utr_singles": 12.06,
      "utr_ranking": 89,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.89,
      "ranking": 132,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.06,
      "ranking": 89,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.45764705882352946,
    "utr_p2": 0.4776470588235295,
    "utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 0.48091603053435117,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": -469,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.44285714285715,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": -1.4196242171189972,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -68,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7320625968096188,
    "rank_advantage": -68,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.857142857142854,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.3285714285714292,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.1785714285714235,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.4285714285714284,
    "combined_confidence": 0.46,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.628571428571419,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.607724249604969,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.581876567219693,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.0916074194560514,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.642857142857146,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7142857142857143,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.734000000000009,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03200000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1394285714285714,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.7301587301587309,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}