Lanlana Tararudee vs Solana Sierra
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
29 Ene 2026, 14:45
29 Ene 2026, 14:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Solana Sierra
Lanlana …: 33,0%
Solana …: 67,0%
¿Por qué Solana Sierra?
UTR 11,89 vs 12,06
(-0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lanlana … | Solana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,50 | 2,70 | 66,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,03 | 1,49 | 33,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lanlana …: -24,7%
Solana …: +24,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lanlana Tararudee
Ranking
#131
UTR Rating
11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
4/10 = 40,0%
Solana Sierra
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#89
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -68,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4809 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7321 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -469,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -68,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,8571 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,7302 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,1786 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,6286 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,6429 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,4429 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,3286 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,4286 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9,7340 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,6077 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,5819 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,0916 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0320 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1394 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4196 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24547
API ID
15409292
Gamdom ID
621511
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24547,
"api_id": 15409292,
"gamdom_id": 621511,
"player1": "Lanlana Tararudee",
"player2": "Solana Sierra",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-29T10:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.45,
"p2": 2.65
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3296,
"prob_p2": 0.6704,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6704,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 131,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 63,
"utr_singles": 12.06,
"utr_ranking": 89,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 132,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.06,
"ranking": 89,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.45764705882352946,
"utr_p2": 0.4776470588235295,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.48091603053435117,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": -469,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.44285714285715,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": -1.4196242171189972,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -68,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7320625968096188,
"rank_advantage": -68,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.857142857142854,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.3285714285714292,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.1785714285714235,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4285714285714284,
"combined_confidence": 0.46,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.628571428571419,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.607724249604969,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.581876567219693,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.0916074194560514,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.642857142857146,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7142857142857143,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.734000000000009,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03200000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1394285714285714,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.7301587301587309,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}