Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Australian Open | Hard | Semifinals
30 Ene 2026, 12:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jannik Sinner
Novak …: 35,5% Jannik …: 64,5%
¿Por qué Jannik Sinner?
UTR 16,05 vs 16,39 (-0,34) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Novak … Jannik … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 9,00 1,07 11,1%
Gamdom 9,00 1,08 11,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,82 1,55 35,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Novak …: +24,9% Jannik …: -24,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Novak Djokovic
Ranking #4
UTR Rating 16,05 Pro
UTR Ranking #3
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 21/28 = 75,0%
Jannik Sinner
Ranking #2
UTR Rating 16,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #1
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 39/42 = 92,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -2,0000
rank_ratio 0,5000
log_rank_ratio -0,6931
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -6720,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -17,8571
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -16,6803
surface_matches_ratio 0,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff -6,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,0000
surface_wr_p2 92,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,8750
surface_wr_p2_stable 89,1304
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 42,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,5160
first_serve_won_diff -4,0571
second_serve_won_diff -1,1214
bp_saved_diff -8,8286
bp_converted_diff 0,0429
aces_per_match_diff 1,9405
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1065
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0758
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,0393
serve_consistency_p2 7,4718
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 12,3776
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2520
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,4266
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3400
utr_p1 0,9471
utr_p2 0,9871
utr_advantage -2,0962
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24549
API ID 15345294
Gamdom ID 589692
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24549,
    "api_id": 15345294,
    "gamdom_id": 589692,
    "player1": "Novak Djokovic",
    "player2": "Jannik Sinner",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-30T08:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 9.0,
      "p2": 1.07
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 9.0,
      "p2": 1.08
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 8.43,
      "p2": 1.07
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3548,
    "prob_p2": 0.6452,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6452,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 4,
      "utr_singles": 16.05,
      "utr_ranking": 3,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 2,
      "utr_singles": 16.39,
      "utr_ranking": 1,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 92.85714285714286,
      "wr_surface_wins": 39,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 16.05,
      "ranking": 3,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 16.39,
      "ranking": 1,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9470588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.9870588235294119,
    "utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -6720,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.828571428571436,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -2,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 92.85714285714286,
    "utr_advantage": -2.0961775585696665,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.6931471805599453,
    "rank_advantage": -2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -17.85714285714286,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.04285714285714448,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 42,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.5159523809523705,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.106508875739645,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.075801749271137,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.9404761904761898,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.057142857142864,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.03931019007172,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.4718258289463515,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 12.37762822428474,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.875,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 89.13043478260869,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.1214285714285737,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.252,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.4265714285714286,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.6802536231884,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -6,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}