Ugo Blanchet vs Hugo Grenier
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 16
29 Ene 2026, 16:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Blanchet
Ugo …: 60,0% Hugo …: 40,0%
¿Por qué Ugo Blanchet?
UTR 14,53 vs 14,50 (+0,03) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ugo … Hugo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,67 2,50 60,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Ugo …: +2,4% Hugo …: -2,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Blanchet
Ranking #142
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #161
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/35 = 60,0%
Hugo Grenier
Ranking #179
UTR Rating 14,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 36/60 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 37,0000
rank_ratio 1,2606
log_rank_ratio 0,2316
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 108,0000
best_rank_diff -44,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,4006
surface_matches_ratio 0,5833
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,9744
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,3750
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 60,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,0783
first_serve_won_diff 1,2212
second_serve_won_diff 2,0371
bp_saved_diff -0,6412
bp_converted_diff -6,4326
aces_per_match_diff -2,6500
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,6250
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7943
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4348
serve_consistency_p1 7,2961
serve_consistency_p2 5,2503
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0630
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1370
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0300
utr_p1 0,7682
utr_p2 0,7647
utr_advantage 0,2067
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24552
API ID 15403384
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24552,
    "api_id": 15403384,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ugo Blanchet",
    "player2": "Hugo Grenier",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-29T12:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.68,
      "p2": 2.04
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6002,
    "prob_p2": 0.3998,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6002,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 142,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 161,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 179,
      "utr_singles": 14.5,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 36,
      "wr_surface_total": 60,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.53,
      "ranking": 161,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.5,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.768235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7647058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.02999999999999936,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2605633802816902,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 108,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.6411904761904808,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.2066827419910393,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -44,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.23155874823949435,
    "rank_advantage": 37,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8666666666666667,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.432619047619042,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 60,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.078261904761902,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7943262411347518,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.6500000000000004,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.221190476190472,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.296096886655746,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.250273714084252,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.375,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.037142857142854,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5833333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.625,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06300000000000006,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1369999999999999,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.400641025641022,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}