Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Luca Nardi
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 16
29 Ene 2026, 16:30
29 Ene 2026, 16:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nicolai …: 71,1%
Luca …: 28,9%
¿Por qué Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nicolai … | Luca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 59,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,41 | 3,46 | 71,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nicolai …: +15,4%
Luca …: -15,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking
#135
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
25/35 = 71,4%
Luca Nardi
Ranking
#108
UTR Rating
14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#145
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
22/41 = 53,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -27,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2231 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -115,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -65,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,7700 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,8974 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8537 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,6585 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,2308 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,2248 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,7828 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,4634 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,4401 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,2833 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,9972 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 22,4250 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4842 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0655 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5619 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,9653 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2413 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0096 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24555
API ID
15403381
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24555,
"api_id": 15403381,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
"player2": "Luca Nardi",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-29T12:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.74,
"p2": 2.0
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7108,
"prob_p2": 0.2892,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7108,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 135,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 108,
"utr_singles": 14.59,
"utr_ranking": 145,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.59,
"ranking": 145,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.8,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -115,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.4400696864111353,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.65853658536586,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -65,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2231435513142097,
"rank_advantage": -27,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.770034843205572,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.2833449477351877,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.224843205574913,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4842105263157895,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.997212543554007,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.7827874564459876,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.065519826588906,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.561861071034341,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.965268681890137,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.23076923076923,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.463414634146339,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8536585365853658,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 22.42500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.24128571428571433,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.009585365853658545,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.89743589743589,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}