Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Luca Nardi
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 16
29 Ene 2026, 16:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nicolai …: 71,1% Luca …: 28,9%
¿Por qué Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nicolai … Luca … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 59,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,41 3,46 71,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Nicolai …: +15,4% Luca …: -15,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking #135
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 25/35 = 71,4%
Luca Nardi
Ranking #108
UTR Rating 14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #145
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 22/41 = 53,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -27,0000
rank_ratio 0,8000
log_rank_ratio -0,2231
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -115,0000
best_rank_diff -65,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,7700
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,8974
surface_matches_ratio 0,8537
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,4286
surface_wr_p2 53,6585
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,2308
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 41,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,2248
first_serve_won_diff 3,7828
second_serve_won_diff 4,4634
bp_saved_diff -2,4401
bp_converted_diff 1,2833
aces_per_match_diff 2,9972
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 22,4250
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4842
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 7,0655
serve_consistency_p2 6,5619
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,9653
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2413
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0096
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7753
utr_p2 0,7753
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24555
API ID 15403381
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24555,
    "api_id": 15403381,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
    "player2": "Luca Nardi",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-29T12:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.74,
      "p2": 2.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7108,
    "prob_p2": 0.2892,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7108,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 135,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 108,
      "utr_singles": 14.59,
      "utr_ranking": 145,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.59,
      "ranking": 145,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7752941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -115,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.4400696864111353,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 27.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.42857142857143,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.65853658536586,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -65,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2231435513142097,
    "rank_advantage": -27,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.770034843205572,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.2833449477351877,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 41,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.224843205574913,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4842105263157895,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.997212543554007,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.7827874564459876,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.065519826588906,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.561861071034341,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.965268681890137,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.23076923076923,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.463414634146339,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8536585365853658,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 22.42500000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.24128571428571433,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.009585365853658545,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.89743589743589,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}