Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mattia Bellucci
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Quarterfinals
30 Ene 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Thiago …: 69,0% Mattia …: 31,0%
¿Por qué Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Thiago … Mattia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,45 3,22 69,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Thiago …: +19,0% Mattia …: -19,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Ranking #103
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 9/14 = 64,3%
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking #76
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 12/29 = 41,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -27,0000
rank_ratio 0,7379
log_rank_ratio -0,3040
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -153,0000
best_rank_diff -27,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 22,9064
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,5791
surface_matches_ratio 0,4828
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,2857
surface_wr_p2 41,3793
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,4242
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2857
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,7267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,2182
first_serve_won_diff 2,1276
second_serve_won_diff -1,3079
bp_saved_diff 0,9882
bp_converted_diff 10,6281
aces_per_match_diff 0,7734
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,4240
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5059
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 8,0343
serve_consistency_p2 7,5615
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,9634
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1699
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1132
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7941
utr_p2 0,7941
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24579
API ID 15403386
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24579,
    "api_id": 15403386,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Thiago Agustin Tirante",
    "player2": "Mattia Bellucci",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-30T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.83,
      "p2": 1.83
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.87,
      "p2": 1.84
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6896,
    "prob_p2": 0.3104,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6896,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 103,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 76,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7941176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.7941176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7378640776699029,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": -153,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.9881773399014833,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.37931034482759,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -27,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.3039956479433047,
    "rank_advantage": -27,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 22.906403940886705,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.628078817733993,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.2182266009852327,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5058823529411764,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.7733990147783256,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7266666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.1275862068965665,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.034264264528636,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.5614724514454394,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.9634471080609215,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.42424242424242,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.3078817733990107,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4827586206896552,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.423999999999992,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16985714285714293,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11320689655172417,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.579124579124583,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}