Matteo Arnaldi vs Brandon Nakashima
Indian Wells | Hard | Round of 32
10 Mar 2025, 21:40
10 Mar 2025, 21:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Brandon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
33/65 = 50.8%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15.61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#50
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
57/95 = 60.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -28.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5410 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.6144 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -547.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7.1011 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8.8713 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6842 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49.8769 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56.9780 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.7246 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59.5960 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 95.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0154 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5.7355 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3.3311 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.2965 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4.9584 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0.2685 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.8405 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12.9700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9785 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6897 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4902 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.1037 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11.1615 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4.3627 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0268 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0418 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.1900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8953 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.2246 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2458
API ID
13537552
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Indian Wells
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
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"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-03-10T21:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6896551724137931,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 10.103745929782352,
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"surface_rank_synergy": 4.3626937781397235,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.026768939393939428,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04178021978021984,
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"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
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"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
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"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
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