Matteo Arnaldi vs Brandon Nakashima
Indian Wells | Hard | Round of 32
11 Mar 2025, 01:40
11 Mar 2025, 01:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Brandon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#65
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/39 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -35,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4615 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7732 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -677,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,1011 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,8713 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6842 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,8769 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,9780 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,7246 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,5960 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 65,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 95,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0154 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,7355 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,3311 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,2965 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,9584 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,2685 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,8405 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 13,2000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9785 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6897 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4902 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,1037 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,1615 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,4905 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0338 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0348 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8718 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,6356 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
2458
API ID
13537552
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Indian Wells
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
"tournament": "Indian Wells",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-03-10T21:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_total": 33,
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"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"p2": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"utr": {
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"p1_surface_matches": 65,
"p2_surface_matches": 95,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.015384615384615385,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.735490384615389,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.3310949467199436,
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"bp_saved_diff": -4.958399933399939,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.26846070596070604,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.8404959623709622,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 13.199999999999989,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9785407725321889,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6896551724137931,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.49019607843137253,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.103745929782352,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.161537755088444,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.490520394518463,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.033768939393939434,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.034780219780219834,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.25,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
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"utr_p2": "0.0114",
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