Ugo Blanchet vs Luca Nardi
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Quarterfinals
30 Ene 2026, 18:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Luca Nardi
Ugo …: 49,2% Luca …: 50,8%
¿Por qué Luca Nardi?
UTR 14,53 vs 14,59 (-0,06) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ugo … Luca … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,03 1,97 49,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Ugo …: +6,8% Luca …: -6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Blanchet
Ranking #142
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #161
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/35 = 60,0%
Luca Nardi
Ranking #108
UTR Rating 14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #145
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 22/41 = 53,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -34,0000
rank_ratio 0,7606
log_rank_ratio -0,2737
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -126,0000
best_rank_diff -72,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,3415
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,6410
surface_matches_ratio 0,8537
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 53,6585
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,9744
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 41,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,3760
first_serve_won_diff 1,8999
second_serve_won_diff 6,2006
bp_saved_diff -0,9658
bp_converted_diff -5,1338
aces_per_match_diff 2,2829
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,7730
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7943
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4842
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 7,8655
serve_consistency_p2 7,9295
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,7356
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1340
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0026
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0600
utr_p1 0,7682
utr_p2 0,7753
utr_advantage -0,4121
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24583
API ID 15403387
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24583,
    "api_id": 15403387,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ugo Blanchet",
    "player2": "Luca Nardi",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-30T14:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.31,
      "p2": 1.56
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4921,
    "prob_p2": 0.5079,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5079,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 142,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 161,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 108,
      "utr_singles": 14.59,
      "utr_ranking": 145,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.53,
      "ranking": 161,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.59,
      "ranking": 145,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.768235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
    "utr_diff": -0.0600000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7605633802816901,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -126,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.9657839721254291,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.65853658536586,
    "utr_advantage": -0.41208791208791556,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -72,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.27369583047704105,
    "rank_advantage": -34,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8666666666666667,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.341463414634141,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.133797909407662,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 41,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.375986062717772,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7943262411347518,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4842105263157895,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.2829268292682925,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.8999303135888397,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.865528427361256,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.929527458612397,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.7356320957080638,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.200557491289196,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8536585365853658,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.772999999999982,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.134,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.002585365853658539,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.641025641025642,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}