Elise Mertens vs Madison Keys
Indian Wells | Hard | Round of 32
10 Mar 2025, 18:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elise … Madison … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elise Mertens
Ranking #20
UTR Rating 12.43 Pro
UTR Ranking #27
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 34/62 = 54.8%
Madison Keys
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 12.48 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 31/44 = 70.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -13.0000
rank_ratio 0.3500
log_rank_ratio -1.0498
rank_tier_advantage -1.0000
points_diff -2366.0000
best_rank_diff -7.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -15.0157
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14.2045
surface_matches_ratio 1.4091
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1.0000
surface_wr_p1 54.9843
surface_wr_p2 70.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54.5455
surface_wr_p2_stable 68.7500
p1_surface_matches 62.0000
p2_surface_matches 44.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0968
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1.4245
first_serve_won_diff 2.3355
second_serve_won_diff -0.9111
bp_saved_diff -3.9990
bp_converted_diff -0.2024
aces_per_match_diff 0.2651
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.4000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 62.0000
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff -38.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -13.1200
current_streak_diff -4.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.7063
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.7643
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.3077
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.7500
serve_consistency_p1 7.1492
serve_consistency_p2 6.2252
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15.7638
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0628
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1870
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.0500
utr_p1 0.5212
utr_p2 0.5271
utr_advantage -0.4014
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1064
utr_advantage 0.0605
surface_rank_synergy 0.0462
points_diff 0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0245
utr_diff 0.0228
rank_advantage 0.0226
rank_ratio 0.0203
utr_both_pro 0.0201
utr_available 0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID 2462
API ID 13583340
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Indian Wells
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 2462,
    "api_id": 13583340,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Elise Mertens",
    "player2": "Madison Keys",
    "tournament": "Indian Wells",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-03-10T18:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 20,
      "utr_singles": 12.43,
      "utr_ranking": 27,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.83870967741935,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 62,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 22,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.45454545454545,
      "wr_surface_wins": 31,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.43,
      "ranking": 27,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 22,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -13,
    "rank_ratio": 0.35,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0498221244986778,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -2366,
    "best_rank_diff": -7,
    "surface_wr_diff": -15.015673981191235,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.20454545454546,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4090909090909092,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.984326018808765,
    "surface_wr_p2": 70.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
    "p1_surface_matches": 62,
    "p2_surface_matches": 44,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0967741935483871,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.4245391849529767,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.335454545454553,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.9111363636363592,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.9989772727272737,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.20244318181818244,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.265076410658307,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -37.99999999999997,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.11999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7063492063492064,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7642857142857142,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3076923076923077,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.1492271015966775,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.2251534771064385,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 15.763786759713701,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06284326018808761,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18699999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.05000000000000071,
    "utr_p1": 0.5211764705882352,
    "utr_p2": 0.5270588235294118,
    "utr_advantage": -0.4014452027298331,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0226",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0203",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
    "points_diff": "0.0341",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0114",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0127",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0139",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0135",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0141",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0137",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0122",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0092",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
    "utr_diff": "0.0228",
    "utr_p1": "0.0136",
    "utr_p2": "0.0123",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0605",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
    "utr_available": "0.018"
  }
}