Arina Rodionova vs Simona Waltert
Abu Dhabi | Hard | Qualification Round 1
31 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Waltert
Arina …: 15,2% Simona …: 84,8%
¿Por qué Simona Waltert?
UTR 11,25 vs 12,15 (-0,90) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Arina … Simona … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 3,75 1,20 26,7%
IA Fair Odds 6,56 1,18 15,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arina Rodionova
Ranking #208
UTR Rating 11,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #368
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 1/6 = 16,7%
Simona Waltert
Ranking #87
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #66
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/12 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -121,0000
rank_ratio 0,4183
log_rank_ratio -0,8716
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -476,0000
best_rank_diff -11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -50,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,6355
surface_matches_ratio 0,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 16,6667
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 25,2727
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,5000
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,6667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4200
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -14,5133
first_serve_won_diff -10,1167
second_serve_won_diff -8,1833
bp_saved_diff -19,3667
bp_converted_diff 4,2500
aces_per_match_diff -3,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,9300
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 18,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 6,5544
serve_consistency_p2 5,9443
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 43,5815
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2123
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0457
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,9000
utr_p1 0,3824
utr_p2 0,4882
utr_advantage -7,6923
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24620
API ID 15453428
Gamdom ID 646099
Torneo Abu Dhabi
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24620,
    "api_id": 15453428,
    "gamdom_id": 646099,
    "player1": "Arina Rodionova",
    "player2": "Simona Waltert",
    "tournament": "Abu Dhabi",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-31T08:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.03,
      "p2": 1.22
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1524,
    "prob_p2": 0.8476,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8476,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 208,
      "utr_singles": 11.25,
      "utr_ranking": 368,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 16.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 87,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 66,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.25,
      "ranking": 368,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 66,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.38235294117647056,
    "utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -0.9000000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 0.4182692307692308,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": -476,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -19.36666666666668,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 20.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 16.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": -7.692307692307695,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -11,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8716299610467342,
    "rank_advantage": -121,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -49.99999999999999,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.25,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": -14.513333333333328,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.42000000000000004,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -10.116666666666667,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.6666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.554390746059837,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.944274990572516,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 43.581498052336705,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.272727272727273,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.18333333333333,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.930000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21233333333333337,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04566666666666652,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.635454545454547,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}