Arina Rodionova vs Simona Waltert
Abu Dhabi | Hard | Qualification Round 1
31 Ene 2026, 12:10
31 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Waltert
Arina …: 15,2%
Simona …: 84,8%
¿Por qué Simona Waltert?
UTR 11,25 vs 12,15
(-0,90)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Arina … | Simona … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 3,75 | 1,20 | 26,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 6,56 | 1,18 | 15,2% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arina Rodionova
Ranking
#208
UTR Rating
11,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#368
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
1/6 = 16,7%
Simona Waltert
Ranking
#87
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/12 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -121,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4183 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8716 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -476,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,6355 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 25,2727 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,6667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -14,5133 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,1167 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,1833 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -19,3667 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,2500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9,9300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 18,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5544 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9443 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 43,5815 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2123 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0457 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,9000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,6923 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24620
API ID
15453428
Gamdom ID
646099
Torneo
Abu Dhabi
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24620,
"api_id": 15453428,
"gamdom_id": 646099,
"player1": "Arina Rodionova",
"player2": "Simona Waltert",
"tournament": "Abu Dhabi",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-31T08:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.03,
"p2": 1.22
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1524,
"prob_p2": 0.8476,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8476,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 208,
"utr_singles": 11.25,
"utr_ranking": 368,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 16.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 87,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 66,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 368,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 66,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_diff": -0.9000000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 0.4182692307692308,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": -476,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -19.36666666666668,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 20.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 16.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": -7.692307692307695,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8716299610467342,
"rank_advantage": -121,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -49.99999999999999,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.25,
"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": -14.513333333333328,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.42000000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.116666666666667,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.554390746059837,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.944274990572516,
"surface_rank_synergy": 43.581498052336705,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.272727272727273,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.18333333333333,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.930000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21233333333333337,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04566666666666652,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.635454545454547,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}