Elsa Jacquemot vs Chloe Paquet
Abu Dhabi | Hard | Qualification Round 1
31 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elsa Jacquemot
Elsa …: 86,5% Chloe …: 13,5%
¿Por qué Elsa Jacquemot?
UTR 11,94 vs 11,68 (+0,26) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elsa … Chloe … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,30 3,00 76,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,16 7,42 86,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking #60
UTR Rating 11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/28 = 64,3%
Chloe Paquet
Ranking #240
UTR Rating 11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking #184
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/14 = 28,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 180,0000
rank_ratio 4,0000
log_rank_ratio 1,3863
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 767,0000
best_rank_diff 41,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 35,7143
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 20,7083
surface_matches_ratio 2,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,2857
surface_wr_p2 28,5714
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 33,3333
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2857
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,7100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,2671
first_serve_won_diff 3,9786
second_serve_won_diff 6,1643
bp_saved_diff 9,4679
bp_converted_diff 15,6429
aces_per_match_diff 0,2143
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 8,1860
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 17,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8824
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 6,3395
serve_consistency_p2 9,6971
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 49,5105
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0371
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0343
elite_surface_amplifier 71,4286
UTR
utr_diff 0,2600
utr_p1 0,4635
utr_p2 0,4329
utr_advantage 2,2015
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24622
API ID 15453426
Gamdom ID 646100
Torneo Abu Dhabi
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24622,
    "api_id": 15453426,
    "gamdom_id": 646100,
    "player1": "Elsa Jacquemot",
    "player2": "Chloe Paquet",
    "tournament": "Abu Dhabi",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-31T08:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8653,
    "prob_p2": 0.1347,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8653,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 60,
      "utr_singles": 11.94,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 240,
      "utr_singles": 11.68,
      "utr_ranking": 184,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.94,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.68,
      "ranking": 184,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4635294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.4329411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.2599999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 4.0,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 767,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.467857142857142,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
    "surface_wr_p2": 28.57142857142857,
    "utr_advantage": 2.2015241320914463,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 41,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.3862943611198906,
    "rank_advantage": 180,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 35.71428571428572,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.642857142857139,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.267142857142851,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8823529411764706,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.2142857142857144,
    "combined_confidence": 0.71,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.9785714285714207,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.3395326636309095,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.697111641682508,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 49.51051289713896,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.164285714285725,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 8.186,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 71.42857142857144,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 17,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03714285714285703,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.034285714285714364,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.708333333333336,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}