Aliona Bolsova vs Varvara Lepchenko
Cluj Napoca | Hard | Qualification Round 1
31 Ene 2026, 15:20
31 Ene 2026, 15:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Varvara Lepchenko
Aliona …: 16,2%
Varvara …: 83,8%
¿Por qué Varvara Lepchenko?
UTR 11,38 vs 11,56
(-0,18)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aliona … | Varvara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 2,48 | 1,43 | 40,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 6,17 | 1,19 | 16,2% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aliona Bolsova
Ranking
#234
UTR Rating
11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#316
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Varvara Lepchenko
Ranking
#146
UTR Rating
11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#214
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/20 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -88,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6239 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4717 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -187,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -69,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,9551 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,5897 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 41,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4967 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,8950 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -9,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,6500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,8000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -13,9060 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 19,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 18,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,8754 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,8555 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 18,8686 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4120 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1880 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4188 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,5693 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24629
API ID
15454284
Gamdom ID
646809
Torneo
Cluj Napoca
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24629,
"api_id": 15454284,
"gamdom_id": 646809,
"player1": "Aliona Bolsova",
"player2": "Varvara Lepchenko",
"tournament": "Cluj Napoca",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-31T11:20:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.48,
"p2": 1.43
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.162,
"prob_p2": 0.838,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.838,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 234,
"utr_singles": 11.38,
"utr_ranking": 316,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 146,
"utr_singles": 11.56,
"utr_ranking": 214,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.38,
"ranking": 316,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.56,
"ranking": 214,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3976470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.41882352941176476,
"utr_diff": -0.17999999999999972,
"rank_ratio": 0.6239316239316239,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -187,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.100000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": -1.5693112467305992,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -69,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.47171449364936496,
"rank_advantage": -88,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -40.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.895000000000003,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7999999999999998,
"combined_confidence": 0.49666666666666665,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -9.400000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.875429693632378,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.855506797760091,
"surface_rank_synergy": 18.8685797459746,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.58974358974359,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.66666666666667,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.649999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -13.906000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41200000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18799999999999994,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9551282051282035,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}