Aliona Bolsova vs Varvara Lepchenko
Cluj Napoca | Hard | Qualification Round 1
31 Ene 2026, 15:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Varvara Lepchenko
Aliona …: 16,2% Varvara …: 83,8%
¿Por qué Varvara Lepchenko?
UTR 11,38 vs 11,56 (-0,18) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aliona … Varvara … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,48 1,43 40,3%
IA Fair Odds 6,17 1,19 16,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aliona Bolsova
Ranking #234
UTR Rating 11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #316
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Varvara Lepchenko
Ranking #146
UTR Rating 11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #214
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/20 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -88,0000
rank_ratio 0,6239
log_rank_ratio -0,4717
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -187,0000
best_rank_diff -69,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -40,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,9551
surface_matches_ratio 0,1000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,5897
surface_wr_p2_stable 41,6667
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,4967
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,8950
first_serve_won_diff -9,4000
second_serve_won_diff -8,6500
bp_saved_diff -9,1000
bp_converted_diff -11,5000
aces_per_match_diff -1,8000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -13,9060
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 19,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 18,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 7,8754
serve_consistency_p2 7,8555
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 18,8686
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4120
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1880
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1800
utr_p1 0,3976
utr_p2 0,4188
utr_advantage -1,5693
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24629
API ID 15454284
Gamdom ID 646809
Torneo Cluj Napoca
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24629,
    "api_id": 15454284,
    "gamdom_id": 646809,
    "player1": "Aliona Bolsova",
    "player2": "Varvara Lepchenko",
    "tournament": "Cluj Napoca",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-31T11:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.48,
      "p2": 1.43
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.162,
    "prob_p2": 0.838,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.838,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 234,
      "utr_singles": 11.38,
      "utr_ranking": 316,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 146,
      "utr_singles": 11.56,
      "utr_ranking": 214,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.38,
      "ranking": 316,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.56,
      "ranking": 214,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3976470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.41882352941176476,
    "utr_diff": -0.17999999999999972,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6239316239316239,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": -187,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -9.100000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.5693112467305992,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -69,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.47171449364936496,
    "rank_advantage": -88,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -40.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.895000000000003,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.7999999999999998,
    "combined_confidence": 0.49666666666666665,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.400000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.875429693632378,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.855506797760091,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 18.8685797459746,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.58974358974359,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.66666666666667,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.649999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.1,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.906000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41200000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18799999999999994,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9551282051282035,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}