Mara Gae vs Maja Chwalinska
Cluj Napoca | Hard | Qualification Round 1
31 Ene 2026, 15:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maja Chwalinska
Mara …: 7,7% Maja …: 92,3%
¿Por qué Maja Chwalinska?
UTR 10,76 vs 12,04 (-1,28) — Ligera ventaja
Mara …
W29-L15
66% WR
vs UTR 10,0
W6
Maja …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mara … Maja … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 7,00 1,04 14,3%
IA Fair Odds 12,95 1,08 7,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mara Gae
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,76 Pro
UTR Ranking #640
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Maja Chwalinska
Ranking #145
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #93
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 5/9 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mara Gae
Record 2025 29W - 15L (66%)
Racha 6W
UTR Oponentes 10,0
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Maja Chwalinska
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -355,0000
rank_ratio 0,2900
log_rank_ratio -1,2379
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -503,0000
best_rank_diff -379,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -55,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,6526
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 55,5556
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,5906
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -46,4944
first_serve_won_diff -57,3333
second_serve_won_diff -53,5000
bp_saved_diff -46,5333
bp_converted_diff -45,0667
aces_per_match_diff -0,8889
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -16,3200
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 16,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3846
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 8,2718
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 68,7708
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1450
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2994
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,2800
utr_p1 0,3247
utr_p2 0,4753
utr_advantage -11,2281
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24630
API ID 15454282
Gamdom ID 646810
Torneo Cluj Napoca
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24630,
    "api_id": 15454282,
    "gamdom_id": 646810,
    "player1": "Mara Gae",
    "player2": "Maja Chwalinska",
    "tournament": "Cluj Napoca",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-31T11:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 7.0,
      "p2": 1.04
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 7.0,
      "p2": 1.07
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.0772,
    "prob_p2": 0.9228,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.9228,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.76,
      "utr_ranking": 640,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 15,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.9090909090909,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.04,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Julia Terziyska"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.01,
          "opponent_name": "Iulia Maria Buculei"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Madison Frahn"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Veronica Cervac"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.83,
          "opponent_name": "Alexandra Irina Anghel"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:32.598327+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 145,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 93,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.76,
      "ranking": 640,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 93,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3247058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
    "utr_diff": -1.2799999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 0.29,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -503,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -46.53333333333333,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "utr_advantage": -11.228070175438592,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -379,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.2378743560016174,
    "rank_advantage": -355,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -55.55555555555556,
    "bp_converted_diff": -45.06666666666667,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": -46.49444444444445,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.38461538461538464,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.8888888888888888,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -57.333333333333336,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.271805277815837,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 68.77079755564542,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.59057071960297,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -53.50000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -16.320000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14500000000000002,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2994444444444444,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.65260545905707,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}