Mara Gae vs Maja Chwalinska
Cluj Napoca | Hard | Qualification Round 1
31 Ene 2026, 15:20
31 Ene 2026, 15:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maja Chwalinska
Mara …: 7,7%
Maja …: 92,3%
¿Por qué Maja Chwalinska?
UTR 10,76 vs 12,04
(-1,28)
— Ligera ventaja
Mara …
W29-L15
66% WR
vs UTR 10,0
W6
Maja …
Sin datos
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mara … | Maja … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 7,00 | 1,04 | 14,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 12,95 | 1,08 | 7,7% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mara Gae
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#640
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Maja Chwalinska
Ranking
#145
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#93
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
5/9 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mara Gae
Record 2025
29W - 15L (66%)
Racha
6W
UTR Oponentes
10,0
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Maja Chwalinska
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -355,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2900 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2379 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -503,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -379,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,6526 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5906 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -46,4944 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -57,3333 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -53,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -46,5333 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -45,0667 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,8889 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -16,3200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 16,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3846 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,2718 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 68,7708 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1450 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2994 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3247 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_advantage | -11,2281 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24630
API ID
15454282
Gamdom ID
646810
Torneo
Cluj Napoca
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24630,
"api_id": 15454282,
"gamdom_id": 646810,
"player1": "Mara Gae",
"player2": "Maja Chwalinska",
"tournament": "Cluj Napoca",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-31T11:20:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.07
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.0772,
"prob_p2": 0.9228,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.9228,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.76,
"utr_ranking": 640,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 15,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.9090909090909,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.04,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Julia Terziyska"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.01,
"opponent_name": "Iulia Maria Buculei"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Madison Frahn"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Veronica Cervac"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.83,
"opponent_name": "Alexandra Irina Anghel"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:32.598327+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 145,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 93,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.76,
"ranking": 640,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 93,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3247058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_diff": -1.2799999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 0.29,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -503,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -46.53333333333333,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_advantage": -11.228070175438592,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -379,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.2378743560016174,
"rank_advantage": -355,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -55.55555555555556,
"bp_converted_diff": -45.06666666666667,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": -46.49444444444445,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.38461538461538464,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.8888888888888888,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -57.333333333333336,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.271805277815837,
"surface_rank_synergy": 68.77079755564542,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.59057071960297,
"second_serve_won_diff": -53.50000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -16.320000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14500000000000002,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2994444444444444,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.65260545905707,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}