Kyrian Jacquet vs Mattia Bellucci
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Semifinals
31 Ene 2026, 11:00
31 Ene 2026, 11:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kyrian Jacquet
Kyrian …: 63,1%
Mattia …: 36,9%
¿Por qué Kyrian Jacquet?
UTR 14,63 vs 14,75
(-0,12)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kyrian … | Mattia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,59 | 2,71 | 63,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kyrian …: +13,1%
Mattia …: -13,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kyrian Jacquet
Ranking
#128
UTR Rating
14,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#145
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/38 = 68,4%
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking
#76
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -52,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5938 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5213 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -281,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -65,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 27,0417 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 23,8384 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3103 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 68,4211 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,3793 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,4242 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3684 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,2375 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,2065 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,3417 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,2900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 11,7348 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,7341 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4,8010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5059 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7692 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,6087 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8889 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -14,0968 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2362 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1382 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7800 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7941 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,8169 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24631
API ID
15403378
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24631,
"api_id": 15403378,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Kyrian Jacquet",
"player2": "Mattia Bellucci",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-31T07:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.83,
"p2": 1.83
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.86,
"p2": 1.85
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6306,
"prob_p2": 0.3694,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6306,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 128,
"utr_singles": 14.63,
"utr_ranking": 145,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.63,
"ranking": 145,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7800000000000001,
"utr_p2": 0.7941176470588235,
"utr_diff": -0.11999999999999922,
"rank_ratio": 0.59375,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -281,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.290018148820323,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 68.42105263157895,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.37931034482759,
"utr_advantage": -0.8168822328114309,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -65,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5212969236332861,
"rank_advantage": -52,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 27.041742286751358,
"bp_converted_diff": 11.734845735027221,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.2375499092559039,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5058823529411764,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.7341197822141554,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.206533575317607,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3684210526315789,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.608746549511736,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.888883246138656,
"surface_rank_synergy": -14.096777063767625,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.42424242424242,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.3417422867513551,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3103448275862069,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.801000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.23621052631578954,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1382068965517242,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.838383838383834,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}