Kyrian Jacquet vs Mattia Bellucci
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Semifinals
31 Ene 2026, 11:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kyrian Jacquet
Kyrian …: 63,1% Mattia …: 36,9%
¿Por qué Kyrian Jacquet?
UTR 14,63 vs 14,75 (-0,12) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kyrian … Mattia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,59 2,71 63,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Kyrian …: +13,1% Mattia …: -13,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kyrian Jacquet
Ranking #128
UTR Rating 14,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #145
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 26/38 = 68,4%
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking #76
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/29 = 41,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -52,0000
rank_ratio 0,5938
log_rank_ratio -0,5213
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -281,0000
best_rank_diff -65,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 27,0417
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 23,8384
surface_matches_ratio 1,3103
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 68,4211
surface_wr_p2 41,3793
surface_wr_p1_stable 66,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,4242
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3684
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,2375
first_serve_won_diff 3,2065
second_serve_won_diff 0,3417
bp_saved_diff -2,2900
bp_converted_diff 11,7348
aces_per_match_diff -0,7341
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 4,8010
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5059
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7692
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 6,6087
serve_consistency_p2 6,8889
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -14,0968
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2362
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1382
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1200
utr_p1 0,7800
utr_p2 0,7941
utr_advantage -0,8169
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24631
API ID 15403378
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24631,
    "api_id": 15403378,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Kyrian Jacquet",
    "player2": "Mattia Bellucci",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-31T07:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.83,
      "p2": 1.83
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.86,
      "p2": 1.85
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6306,
    "prob_p2": 0.3694,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6306,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 128,
      "utr_singles": 14.63,
      "utr_ranking": 145,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 76,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.63,
      "ranking": 145,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7800000000000001,
    "utr_p2": 0.7941176470588235,
    "utr_diff": -0.11999999999999922,
    "rank_ratio": 0.59375,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -281,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.290018148820323,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 68.42105263157895,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.37931034482759,
    "utr_advantage": -0.8168822328114309,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -65,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5212969236332861,
    "rank_advantage": -52,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 27.041742286751358,
    "bp_converted_diff": 11.734845735027221,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.2375499092559039,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5058823529411764,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.7341197822141554,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.206533575317607,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3684210526315789,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.608746549511736,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.888883246138656,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -14.096777063767625,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.42424242424242,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.3417422867513551,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3103448275862069,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 4.801000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.23621052631578954,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1382068965517242,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.838383838383834,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}